If the Habs win one round, they pick 16th
if they lose to Pitt they will have about a 76% chance of keeping #8
If the Habs win one round, they pick 16th
If the Habs win one round, they pick 16th
If they lose? They pick 9th?
probably 8th with slim lotto chances of moving up
If Pitt loses do they slide into the lottery ?
Bottom line on the draft lottery after you play out both phases (if necessary) is that each of the 8 losers of the play-in round have an equal 3.06% chance at the 1st overall pick. Then slightly higher chances (but no much higher) at the 2nd and 3rd overall picks. Its 75.5% that one of the non-playoff teams will get the first overall pick.
So if I’m reading it right, the Habs after losing in the play-in round would have the same chance at getting a top 3 pick as any other team losing the same round. How did we agree to this?? I guess that the cost of making a playoff we didn’t deserve to make.
Yeah those guesses are as good as any. Arizona and Colorado could be options in the west too.I'm going to guess it's two US cities with local and state governments that have relaxed restrictions and a political appetite to get back to normal quickly. Florida? Vegas? Just guessing.
Don't see it being Toronto and would be quite disappointed if it was.
That is correct buts its easier to just do the math. Those percentages I showed are the odds of any of the 15 teams ending up with the first overall pick. Those percentages are correct overall odds without the confusing language about multiple draws depending on what happens in the first draw.I am hearing that if picks 1-3 are awarded by the non playing teams , lottery is over
The other teams have no shot to move into the top 3