Trial Ballon/Balloon Results!
Feel free to ignore this one, guys! LOL. This is pretty long-winded and self-indulgent…I just want to blow off a little steam and get it off my chest.
So, in light of the Hendriks and Springer deals, in our chat you guys suggested that we a) post when guys become available so more, better offers come in, and b) chat up possible deals for evaluation.
I floated an announcement in chat to test those theories, mentioning that Villar, Mondesi, Harper, Abrams, Witt, Dominguez, Gorman, Robert, Cease, Kopech, and future picks were on the block. I edited my trade block to show that I’m looking for 1B, 2B, LF, SP, maybe CF.
Everybody has been paying close attention since then. 4 trades have been made, by 8 teams. Lots of engagement and activity in the league, as pretty much every team has been online making draft picks and paying close attention to rosters.
So, to check in on those test balloon results:
0 offers for Villar, Abrams, Witt, Gorman, Robert, or future picks.
1 offer on Dominguez
1 offer on Kopech
Very kindly, 1 offer that wanted Harper, Mondesi, and Cease all together!
Now, it’s possible that my team and all these players are shitty. But some 5th round draft picks got offers for other people, and I have to think at least a few of these guys are worth more than a 5th.
So, I’m not sure the theory that “announcing a guy as available will lead to multiple competitive offers coming in and show his market value” turns out to be as true as we’d like.
But for quality & evaluation, maybe it works? The best offer I got was:
Iceman trades away
Bryce Harper
Adalberto Mondesi
Dylan Cease
2018 Allstars (Blueman) trades away
Logan Gilbert
Spencer Turnbull
Adrian Morejon
Abraham Toro
Nomar Mazara
Amed Rosario
2023 Draft Pick, Round
1 (2018 Allstars (Blueman))
What do you guys think of this potential deal? At first, I thought it was bad, because:
- I get worse at SP
- I get worse at SS
- I get worse at RF
- I don’t get any players or improvement at any of the positions I’m looking for.
So, it wasn’t seeming too promising. But then I realized that I ALSO get 3 extra guys that I can cut from my team in a few days to get down to the maximum roster limit. AND, 3 years from now I get a pick that might exist, or might evaporate by then and become a compensation pick. So now I am torn.
My takeaways?
- It’s easy to have an outcry afterward saying “I would have given up more” or “That guy is worth way more!” after a guy gets traded. But if we’re not out there actually coming through and OFFERING more, that seems like it should be on us, not the owners who actually made the trade.
- If I do the work and go out and find a deal I actually like, I don’t think I’d want bystanders afterward telling us that one side needs to add more, or that we should consider a reversal because consensus says the value wasn’t equal. Unless someone out there is willing to actually offer a deal that I DO like better, their opinion on involved players’ values doesn’t have much relevance
- Rant over, chest cleared...back to regularly scheduled programming!