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2024 Draft

GrandWazoo said:
It’s more the extremely small sample size that bothers me. He kept rising when injured as scouts, where picking the other players apart, see Eiserman, while he surfed on a good, but not extraordinary, first 1/3 of a season, playing mostly meaningless games.
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That’s fair but his rise seems to be a combination of growth spurt + more importantly the plaudits from the coach re: his commitment to work ethic & IQ improvement (not trying to do it alone).

Is that sustainable or a mirage? A real habit that’s taken root as a result of maturity…

That’s the question I’d be asking…

Aho & Robertson had the same question marks their draft year which dropped them out of 1st round iirc
 
Sal_Butera said:
That’s fair but his rise seems to be a combination of growth spurt + more importantly the plaudits from the coach re: his commitment to work ethic & IQ improvement (not trying to do it alone).

Is that sustainable or a mirage? A real habit that’s taken root as a result of maturity…

That’s the question I’d be asking…

Aho & Robertson had the same question marks their draft year which dropped them out of 1st round iirc
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Aho and Robertson had a lot more body of work to evaluate in their draft year. But when I see Eiserman dropping from #2 to late teens vs Lindstrom jumping from 2nd round to top 5, I have questions.
 
GrandWazoo said:
Aho and Robertson had a lot more body of work to evaluate in their draft year. But when I see Eiserman dropping from #2 to late teens vs Lindstrom jumping from 2nd round to top 5, I have questions.
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absolutely , I havent checked previous drafts but do the fast risers rarely live up to expectations ?
 
I don't think there is a clear signals whether risers tend to live up better or worse, but there is probably a better signals on why and when they rose, for example too much recency bias from the last tournaments like the U18 tends to be less projectable. KK was such an example.
 
GrandWazoo said:
Not quite, he was ranked 21 in preseason rankings.
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And apparently grew literally around 5 inches during the season. Stack that shocking, sudden spike in size on top of his initial ranking, and it makes sense. I personally haven't watched enough complete games to cement my opinion on him, but the scouting vids/highlight packages sure make him look like an enticing prospect.
 
Krustchev said:
In fact, Lane Hutson's father said on Meatball's podcast that Slaf was relatively well known to scouts by the time he was 13/14.

Slaf didn’t rise so much as Wright plummeted.
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This is true. I think I remember an older, long-running thread on that dump, HFB, on Slovak prospects, put up by a Slovak, where Slaf was listed as the projected 2nd best Slovak for the 2021 draft when he was around 16-17. So they surely were tracking his potential well before that. Nemec was #1 and Mesar was #3.
 
LesCanadiens said:
This is true. I think I remember an older, long-running thread on that dump, HFB, on Slovak prospects, put up by a Slovak, where Slaf was listed as the projected 2nd best Slovak for the 2021 draft when he was around 16-17. So they surely were tracking his potential well before that. Nemec was #1 and Mesar was #3.
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HFB ...Vito from Woodbridge debating with Gurpreet from Brampton
 
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