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OT: American Politics

lecoqsportif

Well-known member



ok so Dem +5 and higher numbers are starting to come in on the regular now, and even the gop-friendly polls like Ras have it about even now.

we're getting close to margins we can actually be hopeful about now i think.

FWIW 538 have the Ds at 31% chance to retain house, up from 12% in July. Big jump today (3%) - they must have shed some old polls.
 

MindzEye

Wayward Ditch Pig
FWIW 538 have the Ds at 31% chance to retain house, up from 12% in July. Big jump today (3%) - they must have shed some old polls.

And I'm still pretty convinced that the polls are under weighting women voters. They just don't have a good way of accurately showing that growth in increased voting we're going to see from a demo that doesn't typically vote a ton, 20-35 yr old women.
 

zeke

Well-known member
 
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