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OT: Coronavirus Resources - and other things to not worry about

He's trying to scare us into following rules while not further destroying the economy...but we aren't very good doing the right thing when we can't see the result directly in front of us.
 
Well when the virus is as out of control as it currently is, there's not much that can stop it; exponential spread is no fucking joke. The time to aggressively mitigate was back in September. South Korea has a panic attack any time there was a slight uptick in cases and go into full mitigation mode before it gets out of control. That was the ticket to control the spread but it's too far gone now. All we can do is hope we can out-vaccinate the spread and hope and pray that the new variant doesn't completely take over before the vaccinations have any impact. Problem is, we can probably expect the new UK variant to be the predominant one by February and if we can't even control version 1.0, this new variant is going to cause complete chaos.

Based on the numbers of doses that they expect to distribute in the short-term, I'm not sure a Johnson and Johnson approval will help us much until at least April/May, but at least it will probably ensure we're all done by mid-late summer. Novavax would also be a bonus. But until April all of our marbles are on Pfizer and Moderna hopefully over-delivering the few doses that they've promised.
 
And then of course, we have the South African variant to worry about in terms of immunity escape... More and more evidence of that being a thing as reinfections with that strain are becoming disproportionally evident. Likely that the vaccine will still be effective, but perhaps less so. The silver lining is the mrna vaccines are reallllly fucking good, so a decrease in efficacy wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. But it's something to keep an eye on.
 
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We really started from the top, eh. Since the two mRNA vaccines shot up our expectations, we've seen some really underwhelming results from trials. Really hope the J&J and Novavac ones are half decent.
 
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