Obvioiusly, but please explain how you account for the impact of qoc. You typically make strong claims about its impact. Is a 4.6 difference insignificant to you?
And now for another edition of “Who Said That?”:
“The obvious answer would Phil Kessel because of the 18-wheeler, right? At Christmastime that year we were confident that (first-rounder) would be like the 10th or 12th pick overall. We were five or six games over .500. Then we had that dreadful stretch where we lost 11 out of 13 games and just plummeted — and it ended up being Tyler Seguin. We talked about it before the trade. Because no one lottery-protected picks back then. So, when (our front office) met, we said, “Is there any way this team is going to pick somewhere 10th or lower?” And we were all like, “No, we’re good. We’re good.” Then we collapsed. Turned into Tyler Seguin and Dougie Hamilton.”
Not out to get you, zeke. I'm trying to understand how it is that you do not see qoc significant here. One looks to be right at the mid mark (Haula) and the other slightly below (Kerfoot). How to say whether that is significant or not, I have no idea.there's a hint of it in the fact that puckIQ divvies it up into Elite/Middle/Grit - because it's not linear, and seems to have a greater effect the further away from the middle you get. The vast Middle there they can't find much correlation with - but at the extremes it becomes clear that there's an effect. And even if it was linear, it's an entirely different type of number than xgfrel so calculating them as direct tradeoffs doesn't make sense.
as for how do i do it? it's very hard. There is no good number for it. I have a decent feel for the impact simply by following the numbers unhealthily obsessively and regularly for a good number of years now. I wish Dom would publicize his numbers because I appreciate his work so much simply because his outputs pass my smell test of how QOC impacts the numbers, for the most part. He's the first one of all those guys whose numbers consistently applied qoc similarly to my amateur eyeballing of the stats.
but you seem to try and play both sides of the argument in your consistent attempts to gotcha me on QOC. if you think QOC is a negligible factor that's fine. Then Kerfoot is at+2.82rel and Haula at -2.80rel over the last 2yrs and we can just ignore QOC. but don't try to then gotcha me with QOC you don't believe in and say those QOC numbers there just balance that xgfrel difference out.
CF is interesting. Do they get info of every little roster shuffle from the league?
First Engvall gets buried, not sure why.
Now I see Rosen has been dropped off the roster annnnnnd Lehtonen added instead. Lilly also dropped down. So the D looks exactly what I expect to start the season. The first six guys listed plus Sandin as the extra, and Dermott likely traded.
If you can be over the cap during the offseason, what’s the point of these moves? Is there any impact on the cap during the season to do these things now?
Please pay your league entry fee and post your protected list for the hockey pls and thxThey have a ton of options and depth with this lineup. They are 14-15 deep at forward in players with NHL experience and none of those guys are shitty, no talent 4th liners taht can't play up the lineup like Goat or Clifford.
Enforced? What do you mean?That's enforced during the offseason?
Even so, I would think then that the Leafs have to make that move, not some CF guy speculating that that's the move they made?