• Moderators, please send me a PM if you are unable to access mod permissions. Thanks, Habsy.

The New Division

So here's a thought...

The Leafs finished 5th in the conference last year while being 1 of 2 teams in the league that didn't a record a single shootout win.

What happens in the Leafs get good at shootouts? More than enough offensive talent to suggest it's possible, and converted on a tremendously league worst 12.5% of shootout attempts. Leaf goalies were a middle of the packish .625sv% in shootouts...so just having our forwards not blow at it (and with being able to throw 4 guys out there with 30+ goal ability, it stands to reason that league average isn't an unreasonable expectation), would add some points.
 
If the Leafs finish with .920+ goaltending and at the very least break even in the shootout, they'll finish with home ice.
 
MindzEye said:
So here's a thought...

The Leafs finished 5th in the conference last year while being 1 of 2 teams in the league that didn't a record a single shootout win.

What happens in the Leafs get good at shootouts? More than enough offensive talent to suggest it's possible, and converted on a tremendously league worst 12.5% of shootout attempts. Leaf goalies were a middle of the packish .625sv% in shootouts...so just having our forwards not blow at it (and with being able to throw 4 guys out there with 30+ goal ability, it stands to reason that league average isn't an unreasonable expectation), would add some points.
Click to expand...

Here's a thought, what if you just sit back and enjoy the season and see what shakes out? Then maybe there wouldn't be any what ifs?
 
Habsy said:
Here's a thought, what if you just sit back and enjoy the season and see what shakes out? Then maybe there wouldn't be any what ifs?
Click to expand...

Where's the fun in that? I'm just looking for trends unlikely to continue this season and throwing them out there for discussion.
 
SENSible said:
I wonder what happened last season to cause the Sens offence to drop so dramatically...
Click to expand...

not having a fluke year like in 11-12, the only year in the past 4 that they finished better than 15th in the league in scoring.

15th in 09-10
29th in 10-11
4th in 11-12
27th in 12-13
 
in any event, i would argue that the sens are capable of posting better numbers. obviously having a healthy karlsson and a healthy spezza is going to help.

but that isn't a top five offense. the talent falls off pretty hard after ryan.
 
The Sens are a good team. I think more people would give them credit if their resident fans weren't acting like needy little bitches.
 
TSN Fantasy Projections
Kessel 82gp 35g 80pts
Pacioretty 78gp 30g 65pts
Ryan 81gp 29g 63pts
Spezza 62gp 24g 62pts
Plekanec 80gp 23g 59pts
Kadri 76gp 23g 57pts
Galchenyuk 80gp 18g 52pts
Desharnais 80gp 15g 49pts
Lupul 64gp 23g 47pts
Turris 78gp 19g 47pts
MacArthur 75gp 17g 44pts
JVR 71gp 23g 43pts
Briere 69gp 17g 43pts
Michalek 65gp 18g 41pts
Bozak 78gp 17g 41pts
Gallagher 77gp 20g 39pts
Gionta 75gp 22g 38pts
Clarkson 71gp 20g 35pts
Zibanejad 76gp 12g 34pts
Bolland 70gp 15g 33pts
Raymond 70gp 17g 33pts

Karlsson 75gp 21g 65pts
Subban 80gp 16g 57pts
Phaneuf 79gp 13g 40pts
Markov 57gp 10g 35pts
Franson 72gp 7g 33pts
Wiercoch 75gp 9g 28pts
Gardiner 69gp 8g 24pts - hard to tell here because it looks like they have Robidas and Gardiner flipped. They have Gardiner listed as playing in Buffalo with 24 points and Robidas listed as playing in Toronto with 29 pts.

Lehner 12 wins, 0.929
Anderson 28 wins, 0.926
Bernier 24 wins, 0.917
Price 33 wins, 0.915
Reimer 18 wins, 0.915

----

Thoughts? Go nuts.
 
I think Gallagher and Subban are low.... and I think Galchenyuk is going to break out this year but I can't fault them for that prediction, it's fair.
 
Habspatrol said:
I think Gallagher and Subban are low.... and I think Galchenyuk is going to break out this year but I can't fault them for that prediction, it's fair.
Click to expand...

In fairness though, 60 points in a season is still a fantastic season. Forty points for two first liners just seems not that likely.
 
I hate predictions that predict games played. How the hell can you predict injuries? They are random for the most part.

Converted to PPG/Pace (Leafs):
Kessel: 35/80
Kadri: 25/62
Lupul: 30/60
JVR: 27/50
Bozak:18/43
Clarkson: 23/40
Bolland: 18/39
Raymond: 20/39

Phaneuf: 14/42
Franson: 8/38
Gardiner: 10/29

Bernier 24 wins, 0.917
Reimer 18 wins, 0.915
 
I think Reimer's too low at.915 and JVR's too low with 23 goals. I won't quibble with the games played as he's brittle but only 47 points in 64 games for Lupul? He's been a much better producer than that lately.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top