I think we have enough room to sign all those guys just by moving kerfoot.
We're at 72.8 million with:
-8 Forwards signed
-5 Defenders signs
-1 Goalie
Notable RFA's
Sandin
Lilly
Engvall
Kase
Notable UFA's
Jack
Mikky
Spezza
If we move Kerfoot with no retention, that's 7 forwards signed for 69.3 million, leaving us about 13.2 million in cap space.
So we would need 6 forwards
- Robertson (0.8)
- Engvall (1.75?)
- Kase (1.75?)
- Spezza (0.75)
Those are probably our definites. But bringing back Mikky will be more expensive if we want him (he'll get a money offer from Russia, guaranteed). But we're still going to need 2 more forwards there.
Lilly & Sandin need contracts, I think getting them in under 4 million total will be a tidy and difficult bit of business.
Jack is going to be 3.5-4.0 imo when things shake out.
Conservatively, I think we're into ~12 million to get the above done and then have to find a way to squeeze two forwards (Anderson and one other) in at near league minimum.
Bunting-Matthews-Marner
Roberston-Tavares-Nylander
Engvall-Kampf-Kase
Simmonds-Spezza-Anderson
XXXXX
Rielly-Brodie
Muzzin-Holl
Sandin-Lilly
Dermott
Jack
Mrazek
So we're into having the same team we had this season ostensibly (Robertson could easily be an upgrade over Kerfoot, but that's a risky slot that could go sideways on us) with potentially the same issues (Jack being Jeckyl & Hyde, Pete might be shit, Muzzin and Holl declining as a shutdown pair, that 4th line starting to show the wear on it's tires, etc)
I think Engvall and Kase will have QOs in the 1.5 range - probably just get that.
Mikheyev based on track record I'm not sure can get a big payday. 2-2.5?
Sandin/Lilly I think we're forced to bridge - maybe a dermott level deal?
Campbell somewhere in the 4m range?
Would probably have to trade away Holl or Dermott to make it fit but I think it's doable.
Breakdowns like this make me feel like it makes so much sense for dubas to value a Hagel far more than a rental. Sets them up for 3 playoffs runs and solves a lot of their concerns for the next 2 seasons too. And it buys a little more time for their prospects to truly be "ready". And then you trade the bagel when he expires and is a RFA so you recoup some of that value back in the end. If he's playing in a top six role his stats might get fairly juiced anyway and you can potentially get Kapanen-esque value back.QO would be 100% of what they made this season, but I don't know if shit will be that simple with either of them. Kase is arby eligible and probably files for arby to leverage for more money. Pierre isn't and maybe just takes the one year deal (which takes him to UFA I think) but also can turn down the QO and look for offer sheets.
I would bet on an offer from Russia in the 2.5-3.0 range, yeah. Also wouldn't be shocked to see a NHL team go in on some dollars and term on him. I mean, if McGinn and Nick Ritchie can fetch 2.5+ out of free agency, I wouldn't be surprised at all if a legitimate 3rd line winger like Mikky could get 3yrs x 2.5ish. We can't match that.
I had them at 4M combined on bridges personally. The comparables for Sandin around the league kind of aren't pretty for us cap wise. Jake Bean got 3x2.3, Dante Fabbro got 2x2.4, Ethan Bear 2x2.0, Jokiharju 3x2.5
I think bridging Sandin is in the 2-2.5M territory, Lilly we can probably "Dermott" at 1.25-1.5 per, yeah. The better way forward might be to clear more cap space and just bite the bullet on both of them for 3-4 years though.
Yeah, that's where I've got him.
Yeah, if we're willing to shed more salary from the NHL roster (Dermott/Holl) and replace it cheap we can maybe do it. I still don't see Mikky fitting in (or being worth the additional money...same as Kerfoot really, fine player but if we're getting similar contributions out of guys sub 2 million, dafuq are we doing spending more on him?).
Next year is tight though, especially if we're 7.8 million into Jack/Mrazek...which is too much imo for how insecure a tandem that feels like currently.
How can they have the highest? The spent to the cap and beyond?Montreal literally has the highest payroll in the league while icing the worst team. That's almost impressive. And most of that money is locked in longterm.
QO would be 100% of what they made this season, but I don't know if shit will be that simple with either of them. Kase is arby eligible and probably files for arby to leverage for more money. Pierre isn't and maybe just takes the one year deal (which takes him to UFA I think) but also can turn down the QO and look for offer sheets.
I would bet on an offer from Russia in the 2.5-3.0 range, yeah. Also wouldn't be shocked to see a NHL team go in on some dollars and term on him. I mean, if McGinn and Nick Ritchie can fetch 2.5+ out of free agency, I wouldn't be surprised at all if a legitimate 3rd line winger like Mikky could get 3yrs x 2.5ish. We can't match that.
I had them at 4M combined on bridges personally. The comparables for Sandin around the league kind of aren't pretty for us cap wise. Jake Bean got 3x2.3, Dante Fabbro got 2x2.4, Ethan Bear 2x2.0, Jokiharju 3x2.5
I think bridging Sandin is in the 2-2.5M territory, Lilly we can probably "Dermott" at 1.25-1.5 per, yeah. The better way forward might be to clear more cap space and just bite the bullet on both of them for 3-4 years though.
Yeah, that's where I've got him.
Yeah, if we're willing to shed more salary from the NHL roster (Dermott/Holl) and replace it cheap we can maybe do it. I still don't see Mikky fitting in (or being worth the additional money...same as Kerfoot really, fine player but if we're getting similar contributions out of guys sub 2 million, dafuq are we doing spending more on him?).
Next year is tight though, especially if we're 7.8 million into Jack/Mrazek...which is too much imo for how insecure a tandem that feels like currently.
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With room left to juice some of those new signings up a bit if you think they're low.
Even if you bump mikky and sandin up to 2.5 we can still fit them all I think.