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For Borje - The Toronto Maple Leafs 2023 Stanley Cup Champions Thread

I get wanting to avoid certain matchups and wanting your elite defensive forwards if you have them up against the other teams stars.

And when you look at the leafs roster it’s like ok - you have probably the most well rounded elite C in the world on the first line, a selke finalist 100 point winger on the second line and a former selke and conn smythe winner centering your third line and keefe is like “kampf, get out there vs tkachuck”
 
mbow30 said:
I get wanting to avoid certain matchups and wanting your elite defensive forwards if you have them up against the other teams stars.

And when you look at the leafs roster it’s like ok - you have probably the most well rounded elite C in the world on the first line, a selke finalist 100 point winger on the second line and a former selke and conn smythe winner centering your third line and keefe is like “kampf, get out there vs tkachuck”
Click to expand...

The definition of galaxy braining the situation
 
I get the thesis. If Kampf can eliminate Tkachuk then you have your three talented lines out there doing damage vs inferior talent. What could go wrong?

Well,

1. Kampf ends up playing way more than he should, and
2. Kampf eliminating Tkachuk is an absolutely braindead moronic dream
 
The nice thing about Kampf on the 4th line is if he gets stuck out against a top line you aren't too worried about it (as opposed to Spezza).

But that is very different from lets intentionally play him every dzone draw against the other teams top line. It makes no sense. And that is why you got ROR. Why are you trying to find ROR's line favourable matchups?
 
leafman101 said:
The nice thing about Kampf on the 4th line is if he gets stuck out against a top line you aren't too worried about it (as opposed to Spezza).

But that is very different from lets intentionally play him every dzone draw against the other teams top line. It makes no sense. And that is why you got ROR. Why are you trying to find ROR's line favourable matchups?
Click to expand...
Honestly probably because his line has needed it for whatever reason. That line as constructed is not quite working.
 
Knies - Matthews - Marner
Tavares - O'Reilly - Nylander
Bunting - Kampf - Acciari

Jarnkrok and Kerfoot as the 10th and 11th.
 
Playoffs 5v5 xGF%, remaining teams in bold:

1. NJD 57.5
2. VGK 56.9
3. CAR 53.3
4. EDM 53.2
5. FLA 51.7
6. DAL 51.5
7. SEA 51.0
8. TBL 51.0
9. COL 49.4
10. TOR 49.3
11. BOS 47.9
12. MIN 47.4
13. NYI 45.4
14. LAK 45.0
15. WPG 43.9
16. NYR 42.4


we're gonna wanna play better at some point.
 
Regular Season 5v5 --> Playoffs 5v5

Matthews 56.9 --> 58.8 (+1.9)
Marner 55.4 -----> 57.8 (+2.4)
Nylander 55.8 ---> 54.0 (-1.8)

Tavares 54.6 -----> 50.3 (-4.3)
Bunting 55.1 -----> 49.2 (-5.9)
Jarnkrok 52.5 ----> 55.5 (+3.0)

O'Reilly 60.2 -----> 43.1 (-17.1)
Acciari 59.0 ------> 43.3 (-15.7)
Knies 66.3 -------> 58.9 (-7.4)

Kampf 50.1 ------> 31.3 (-19.8)
Kerfoot 54.3 -----> 36.3 (-18.0)
ZAR 50.6 --------> 39.8 (-10.8)
Lafferty 43.9 -----> 37.0 (-6.9)


Rielly 51.9 -------> 55.7 (+3.8)
Brodie 57.4 ------>56.1 (-1.3)

McCabe 55.7 ----> 46.0 (-9.7)
Giordano 56.0 ---> 39.9 (-16.1)

Holl 53.0 ---------> 33.6 (-19.4)
Schenn 52.3 -----> 61.5 (+9.2)

Liljegren 54.0 ----> 44.4 (-9.6)
Gustafsson 49.7 -> 44.4 (-5.3)


i've bolded the ones that are concerning to me.

a lot of this is likely from Keefe matching even more obsessively than ever, of course.
 
Preston said:
ROR and Gio from an eye test perspective have been the biggest drops offs for me. Both have been plain bad.
Click to expand...


Holl might’ve been taking a disproportionate amount of blame for their pairing being shit against Tampa.

And kinda looking like we might’ve blown out Gio by relying on him too heavily in the regular season.
 
leafman101 said:
The nice thing about Kampf on the 4th line is if he gets stuck out against a top line you aren't too worried about it (as opposed to Spezza).

But that is very different from lets intentionally play him every dzone draw against the other teams top line. It makes no sense. And that is why you got ROR. Why are you trying to find ROR's line favourable matchups?
Click to expand...

ROR needs to play a heap better before I’m convinced he’s that much better right now. Though he will win the FO more.

Matthews needs to be used more and not hidden from any fucken match up. I agree with others that he’s our Bergeron type that you actually match that top line up against theirs cause 99 percent of the time you are winning that battle and we have the JT line (and hopefully ROR line shows up) to take advantage of most teams that don’t have our depth.
 
zeke said:
Playoffs 5v5 xGF%, remaining teams in bold:

1. NJD 57.5
2. VGK 56.9
3. CAR 53.3
4. EDM 53.2
5. FLA 51.7
6. DAL 51.5
7. SEA 51.0
8. TBL 51.0
9. COL 49.4
10. TOR 49.3
11. BOS 47.9
12. MIN 47.4
13. NYI 45.4
14. LAK 45.0
15. WPG 43.9
16. NYR 42.4


we're gonna wanna play better at some point.
Click to expand...

I guess I could add....

Playoffs 5v5 Goal Differential %

1. VGK 69.9
2. NYR 60.8
3. SEA 55.2
4. FLA 55.0
5. EDM 53.9
6. CAR 53.6
7. NYI 52.5
8. TBL 51.6
9. MIN 49.0
10. DAL 48.0
11. TOR 46.7
12. BOS 46.5
13. COL 45.8
14. LAK 41.8
15. NJD 35.3
16. WPG 28.9

All Goal Diff %

1. VGK 58.2
2. CAR 57.0
3. DAL 56.4
4. EDM 53.8
5. FLA 51.3
6. COL 51.0
7. SEA 50.8
8. BOS 50.7
9. NYR 50.7
10. TOR 49.0
11. TBL 48.6
12. NYI 48.0
13. NJD 44.6
14. LAK 43.4
15. WPG 42.0
16. MIN 39.9




and....Win %

1. VGK .833
2. CAR .714
3. FLA .625
3. SEA .625
5. DAL .571
5. EDM .571
5. TOR .571
8. NJD .500
9. BOS .429
9. COL .429
9. NYR .429
12. LAK .333
13. MIN .333
14. NYI .333
15. TBL .333
16. WPG .200
 
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