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how is that speculation any different than what we've all been discussing since Georgia
It comes from a guy that lobbies about ten times more than anyone else. He has connections. The CEO of bluma wellness does not. He's a watered down Andy DeFrancesco loudmouth.
 
It comes from a guy that lobbies about ten times more than anyone else. He has connections. The CEO of bluma wellness does not. He's a watered down Andy DeFrancesco loudmouth.

Totally get that...but I could swear Toddo has been reporting BoJo's confidence about incoming legislation.
 
Totally get that...but I could swear Toddo has been reporting BoJo's confidence about incoming legislation.
Oh I missed that. Last interview I saw with BoJo he said he didn't expect much to change until about three years from now (other than safe). Even said that's when he thinks the uplist would come. This is the first I've personally heard him connecting safe with an uplist.
 
Thumb starting to slowly nibble and penetrate California. Interesting decision as they are usually very strategic in where they expand and they aren't too big on having small presences in any state (other than Florida, which is an anomaly). When they go in, they go in hard. Clearly they feel it's about time to make use of some of their unused licenses and start building a brand in a state where building brands is everything. Plus we're starting to see California pivot a bit and become more and more profitable slowly but surely!

Tilly had some news. Doesn't matter how inconsequential it is as it was always goin gto cause a squeeze especially on a day where QQQ is booming.. Clearly they're making it a priority to go global. I don't mind it since it's probably their only hope of going big time. But they don't have the cash and profitability that Curaleaf does so those markets overseas better hurry up and get going sooner rather than later.
 
Played the Curaleaf CNBC pump as Bojo was on at 10:10. Sold half at 20.98 and the rest at 21.11.

Back to heavy cash. The fade is ugly, the lack of movement from MSOs is ugly. And for that reason I'm out.
 
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made my trade of the day --not a huge one but shorted ES at 3904, covered 3888.

3888 is kind of my pivot point; so I'm neutral right now

on the pot front, I sold some VFF calls during the am pop...still have my core position
 
Find it fucking hilarious that CURA has dropped 6% from where I sold the remainder of my position all because an interview ended on a particular mainstream network. I was going to keep some but I was like why? I know it's cratering as soon as this shit is over. Might as well dump it all. QQQ/SPY was dropping, MSOs were dropping all while CURA was pumping on the interview.. Easy decision.
 
Find it fucking hilarious that CURA has dropped 6% from where I sold the remainder of my position all because an interview ended on a particular mainstream network. I was going to keep some but I was like why? I know it's cratering as soon as this shit is over. Might as well dump it all. QQQ/SPY was dropping, MSOs were dropping all while CURA was pumping on the interview.. Easy decision.

a confluence of sell signals

I'm hoping this is the worst of the earnings reports....
 
a confluence of sell signals

I'm hoping this is the worst of the earnings reports....
Pretty comfortable with my Trulieve estimate the other day so that'll be better.. May even be the best of them all. Thumb and Cresco might be lowkey good too. Illinois had a lot of growth in Q4... But it'll definitely be muted compared to past quarters for both of them. AYR might have weak organic growth but the proforma numbers should jump off the page...

Good news is that expectations are lower now. I've always felt more comfortable playing the earnings ramp up than the actual earnings on MSOs. They historically never did much after they reported.. In particular, Curaleaf pretty consistently dumps the following day. Thumb is really the only one that tends to do well post report becuase they are classic under-promisers and usually crush expectations (doesn't mean they'll continue to do that.. the bar is far higher now as their market cap has exploded relative to others). But this is a new environment. We limped into earnings season so we're talking about a brand new, fresh, uncharted waters kinda setup.
 
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In any event, I think most kinda figured that q4 would be mehhhh. Seems like even Toddo keeps hinting at it and that guy thinks anything that MSOs do is worth a bajillion dollars. It doesn't matter because there's a clear path to growth coming in 2021 and beyond; it's more than just blind hope. The growth simply won't be linear and that's fine.
 
yeah...I'm not even fretting this in the slightest. With my last week's purchases I now have more skin in the cannabis game than ever.
 
Yeah it's just the short-term bit of the overall market uncertainty throwing a wrench into things at the worst possible time. Doesn't change the narrative longer term of course. Just requires a bit more patience.
 
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