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New Canadian Politics Thread

MindzEye said:
We're petty, and I love it

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But "nice" about it. Y'all didn't make him wait 8 hours to be properly greeted. 😁
 
Wayward DP said:
I'm no expert but pretty these numbers = big Lib majority...

crazy turnaround.

PP made his bed though.
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Right now, 338 has CPC up 39-33 in Ontario but project a 59-59 tie for seats because voting efficiency is a thing. Now, that 39-33 race isn't including any polling from before the 9th, and still include a bunch of old polls (it looks like 338 doesn't retire polls from their projections, the math they use reduces the weighting of the poll the older it gets until it's virtually meaningless). But the next time they update, that 59-59 tie in Ontario will slide Liberal by at least a few seats. As of the 9th, 338 is projecting a pretty weak looking 156 seat Pierre minority with the Liberals at 143 seats.

We probably slide into a tie or slight Liberal minority when this weeks polls hit and Ontario continues to shift away from CPC +6:

This weeks polls
Liaison: L+4
Mainstreet: :+2
Leger: Tie
Abacus: CPC +4
 
Artnes said:
So the NATO vs the US? Crazy to believe we are here but how does this play out?
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If this eventually gets to the point where the United States launches a military invasion of Canada, don’t kid yourself. It won’t be NATO vs the USA, it’ll just be Canada vs the USA.

The absolute most we could expect is that, if our conventional military puts up enough of a fight and holds out long enough, they might start sending us military aid, like with Ukraine. But the only boots on the ground will be Canadian ones.
 
Into the meat grinder.

This isn’t a fight you win with your hands. We need to strike a deal that works. Or hopefully Trump gets taken out of office sooner rather than later.
 
Artnes said:
So the NATO vs the US? Crazy to believe we are here but how does this play out?
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I don't think we're "here". I'm of the mind to take Trump literally and seriously. He's told us what he wants to do, use economic pressure to force us into accepting annexation without ever firing a shot. He doesn't have the type of grip on the country he would need to turn this into a military adventure imo and might not manage it before he has to turn his attention to stripping elections of their power.
 
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