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OT: American Politics

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PA and NV continue to get bluer. The three closest states in the average of the averages are the 3 states that are currently leaning red - NC, AZ, GA all under 1% on average, while the four lean blue states are all over 1% on average.


Interesting that VoteHub there - the one average which explicitly ignores all polls that aren't rated at least B - is bang on with the average of averages in almost every state......except for one - Georgia. The averages think that Georgia is Trump's strongest swingstate, but the high rated polls think Georgia is actually slightly leaning blue. So this might be the one state where junk polls are having the biggest effect.
 
Interesting comparison of two Trump rallies in the same location two years apart.

This jumped out at me:

"Similarly, Trump did not mention Hannibal Lecter, the character in Silence of the Lambs he typically invokes, or mention windmills causing cancer, which Harris dinged him on during their debate in Philadelphia. He also did not go on many of his dottering weaving tangents he normally goes on."

Harris is sooooo in his head now he is even sabotaging his own rallies by skipping what Harris called him out for.

Also this part: "but today, he also offered numerous unrealistic policy proposals, such as capping credit card interest rates at 10 percent.'

So he is skipping over items that he's trained his cultists to look forward to at his "fun" rallies, in favour of policy. Something that his fans simply don't care about nor does he actually know enough about to discuss.

This is partly why people leave his rallies early, which in turn gets him more off balance.

www.independent.co.uk

Two years later at the same location, Trump is more depserate and diminished

Trump’s rally in Wilmington shows he lacks the same bravado and juice that once made him a spectacle, Eric Garcia reports. Now he just is promising anything to get elected
www.independent.co.uk www.independent.co.uk
 
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