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OT: American Politics

In a January Wall Street Journal poll, most American voters (62%) said protecting funding for education, healthcare, and social safety net programs was a bigger priority than reducing the national debt (34%).

Democrats say the money has been appropriated by Congress and then signed into law by former President Joe Biden, so it must be spent. The Trump administration’s view is much different. Officials note they are calling for a temporary pause in the money, not ending the programs—yet. And, in directing the freeze, the memo directs agencies to act “to the extent permissible under applicable law.” That phrasing could have been a nod to their anticipation of the same legal challenges that swiftly postponed the enactment of the policy.

The issue could end up before the Supreme Court, as incoming White House budget chief Russ Vought has argued that the Impoundment Control Act, a 1974 law that limits the White House’s ability to claw back money, is unconstitutional and should be struck down. Testifying last week before a Senate committee, Vought said that freezes aren’t “impoundments,” but rather represent “programmatic delays.”

The scramble this week could be a dress rehearsal for March 14, when the current spending agreement is set to expire and Congress must pass a new bill—or face a shutdown, the odds of which rise each day.
 
I keep harping that Trump is widely overreaching his mandate. Here's a poll from WSJ


His promise to pardon people convicted in connection with the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the Capitol drew opposition from 57% of voters.

More than two-thirds oppose using economic coercion or military force to take control of Greenland, while 57% oppose using coercion or force to retake control of the Panama Canal. Trump has said he cannot rule out such tactics to accomplish his territorial ambitions.

Two-thirds oppose making Canada the 51st state, an idea that set off tensions between the two countries.

Half say it is a bad idea for Elon Musk, the Tesla CEO advising Trump on federal spending cuts and other matters, to serve as an adviser, while 39% say it is a good idea.

By a margin of 64% to 31%, voters oppose ending birthright citizenship—the constitutional provision that someone born in the U.S. is a citizen, which Trump has promised to try to eliminate.

Voters place a high priority on protecting funding for education, healthcare and social safety-net programs—a caution for Trump and his advisers, Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, who are leading an effort to identify large spending cuts. By about 60% to 34%, voters say protecting those programs is more important than cutting taxes or reducing the federal debt.

Support is essentially split over another signature Trump plan—placing tariffs on imported goods—with 48% of voters in support and 46% opposed. At the same time, 68% also say that tariffs would make the products they buy more expensive.
 
he will make exceptions....why do you think Tim Apple attended the inauguration?

If Apple gets an exemption (one of the few, I assume), they'll end up raising their prices anyway to maintain their market premium that they've always demanded when the price of Samsungs go up because of tariffs.
 
2026 can't come soon enough. BTW Nate has pegged the Dems winning the house at 85%

  1. Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms. Prediction markets put this at 70%, but I suspect there’s too much hedging toward 50/50 given the historical midterm penalty plus the narrowness of the current GOP majority. Plus, the Democratic voting bloc should still turn out in midterms. 85%
 
If Apple gets an exemption (one of the few, I assume), they'll end up raising their prices anyway to maintain their market premium that they've always demanded when the price of Samsungs go up because of tariffs.
These ppl just don’t understand American soft power at all

Or how market economics work.

Like this is fundamental fucking stuff that they’re shirking with mounds of historical evidence that trade wars both fuel price increases and lead to hot wars.
 
I keep harping that Trump is widely overreaching his mandate. Here's a poll from WSJ


His promise to pardon people convicted in connection with the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the Capitol drew opposition from 57% of voters.

More than two-thirds oppose using economic coercion or military force to take control of Greenland, while 57% oppose using coercion or force to retake control of the Panama Canal. Trump has said he cannot rule out such tactics to accomplish his territorial ambitions.

Two-thirds oppose making Canada the 51st state, an idea that set off tensions between the two countries.

Half say it is a bad idea for Elon Musk, the Tesla CEO advising Trump on federal spending cuts and other matters, to serve as an adviser, while 39% say it is a good idea.

By a margin of 64% to 31%, voters oppose ending birthright citizenship—the constitutional provision that someone born in the U.S. is a citizen, which Trump has promised to try to eliminate.

Voters place a high priority on protecting funding for education, healthcare and social safety-net programs—a caution for Trump and his advisers, Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, who are leading an effort to identify large spending cuts. By about 60% to 34%, voters say protecting those programs is more important than cutting taxes or reducing the federal debt.

Support is essentially split over another signature Trump plan—placing tariffs on imported goods—with 48% of voters in support and 46% opposed. At the same time, 68% also say that tariffs would make the products they buy more expensive.

Americans are too dumb to answer this hypothetical question. They need to fill the impact of tariffs etc and then ask them. These surveys are a waste. Americans are too stupid (I would assume 95 percent of the people for tariffs in particular) to grasp how tariffs even work to answer properly.

Let them lose their health care, inflation go nuts, social programs disappear etc and then ask them all what they think of trumps actions
 
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