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OT: The Toronto Blue Jays

suddenly, neither Schneider nor Lukes have any platoon split of note.

Schneider 110wrc+ vRHP / 129wrc+ vLHP
Lukes 111wrc+ vRHP / 128wrc+ vLHP
 
Team wRC+

1. NYY 117
2. CHC 114
3. LAD 113
4. TOR 111
5. ARI 110
6. SEA 120
7. NYM 107
8. DET 106
9. PHI 106
10. MIL 105

And finally starting to close ground in runs scored per game:

1. CHC 5.19
2. NYY 5.17
3. LAD 5.12
4. BOS 4.98
5. MIL 4.98
6. ARI 4.85
7. DET 4.82
8. TOR 4.79
9. PHI 4.72
10. CIN 4.56
 
Since May 1

wRC+

1. TOR 120
2. NYY 111
3. CHC 111
4. ARI 110
5. LAD 109

Runs/gm

1. TOR 5.26
2. LAD 5.01
3. NYY 4.96
4. BOS 4.93
5. MIL 4.93
 
Pitching, using the average of fip war and ra9 war, paced out to full seasons (32gms for SP, 65 for RP):


1. LH Lauer 3.6
2. RH Gausman 2.8
3. RH Bassitt 2.2
4. RH Berrios 2.2
5. RH Scherzer 1.6

1. RH Fisher 1.7
2. RH Varland 1.5
3. LH Little 1.2
4. RH Rodriguez 0.9
5. RH Dominguez 0.3
6. RH Garcia 0.3
7. RH Hoffman 0.1
8. LH Fluharty -0.3

(9. RH Nance 1.5)
(10. RH Sandlin 0.2)
(11. RH Schultz -0.1)
 
So, are the Jays still a bad team that should miss the playoffs, but have lucked into winning a lot of games, or are they a good team that should make the playoffs based on their payroll and have had some good luck along the way?

Or, are they a good team that had terrible luck last year?
 
So, are the Jays still a bad team that should miss the playoffs, but have lucked into winning a lot of games, or are they a good team that should make the playoffs based on their payroll and have had some good luck along the way?

Or, are they a good team that had terrible luck last year?
THey are a playoff team
 
So, are the Jays still a bad team that should miss the playoffs, but have lucked into winning a lot of games, or are they a good team that should make the playoffs based on their payroll and have had some good luck along the way?

Or, are they a good team that had terrible luck last year?

The last two years they definitely underachieved. Pretty good team on paper that for some reason had a whole bunch of very good bats turn into pumpkins.

But this year they are both better on paper, and the underachievers have stopped underachieving - maybe even overachieving, but even that seems questionable given how useless the likes of Santander and others have been.
 
Fangraphs Preseason Combined Projections ---> Current Performance ---> difference

wRC+

Guerrero 152 ---> 139 ---> -13
Santander 126 --> 63 ---> -63
Bichette 120 ----> 124 ---> +4
Alejandro 118 --> 115 ---> -3
Wagner 118 ----> 86 ---> -32
Roden 112 -----> 57 ---> -55
Springer 109 ---> 148 ---> +39
Gimenez 107 ---> 78 ---> -29
Varsho 104 -----> 102 ---> -2

Schneider 108 -> 122 ---> +14
Lukes 108 ------> 113 ---> +5
Clement 100 ---> 99 ---> -1
Heineman 77 --> 151 ---> +84

Barger 107 -----> 122 ---> +15
Loperfido 92 ---> 174 ---> +82
Straw 74 --------> 78 ----> +4
Jimenez 103 ----> -20 ---> -123
Bethancourt 85 -> --- ----> n/a



ERA

Scherzer 3.71 ---> 4.39 ---> -0.68
Gausman 3.80 ---> 3.99 ---> -0.19
Bassitt 4.04 ------> 4.12 ---> -0.08
Berrios 4.15 -----> 3.84 ---> +0.31
Francis 4.20 -----> 6.05 ---> -1.85
Lauer n/a --------> 2.59 ---> n/a

Hoffman 2.97 ----> 4.56 ---> -1.59
Burr 3.54 ---------> 0.00 ---> +3.54
Garcia 3.58 -------> 3.86 ---> -0.28
Little 3.79 --------> 2.70 ---> +1.09
Green 3.90 ------> 5.56 ----> -1.66
Sandlin 3.97 -----> 2.20 ---> +1.77
Swanson 3.98 ----> 15.19 --> -11.21
Rodriguez 4.06 ---> 2.53 ---> +1.53
Fluharty 4.07 ----> 5.36 ----> -1.29
Fisher 4.41 ------> 2.43 ----> +1.98
 
Controlled next year


SP Gausman (35) $23.0
SP Berrios (32) $18.7
SP Manoah (28) Arb
SP Francis (30) Arb
SP Bloss (25) rook
SP Tiedeman (22) rook
SP Yesavage (22) rook

RP Hoffman (33) $12.7
RP Garcia (35) $7.5
RP Rodriguez (29) $6.6
RP Fisher (25) rook
RP Varland (28) rook
RP Little (29) rook
RP Fluharty (24) rook
RP Sandlin (29) Arb
RP Burr (32) Arb
RP Nance (35) Arb


1B Guerrero (27) $40.2
DH Springer (36) $24.2
RF Santander (31) $19.2
2B Gimenez (27) $15.6
C Alejandro (27) $8.7
CF Varsho (29) Arb
SS Clement (30) Arb
3B Barger (26) rook
LF Lukes (31) rook

UT Loperfido (27) rook
OF Straw (32) $7.4
IF Schneider (27) rook
C Heineman (35) Arb

UT Schreck (25) rook
OF Clase (24) rook
IF Jimenez (25) rook
C Sanchez (29) rook



FA

SS Bichette (28)
SP Scherzer (41)
SP Bassitt (37)
RP Dominguez (31)
UT France (31)
 
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