The Official 2026 Off-Season Thread: Revenge of the Nerds

[MindzEye]

https://www.afpanalytics.com/nhl-contract-projections

Top 15 forwards: The info to the right is any extension signed since they posted the projection.

Panarin, Artemi		NYR	LAK	LW	R	34	UFA		4	$10,790,000.00	10.38%	$43,160,000.00	$104,000,000.00	2	$11,000,000.00	10.58%	$22,000,000.00	100%	1.91%	96.18%	2	$210,000.00	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Tuch, Alex		BUF		RW	R	30	UFA		8	$10,631,400.00	10.22%	$85,051,200.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Ovechkin, Alex		WSH		LW	R	40	UFA		1	$9,068,800.00	8.72%	$9,068,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Schmaltz, Nick		UTA	UTA	C, LW	R	30	UFA		6	$8,314,800.00	8.00%	$49,888,800.00	$104,000,000.00	8	$8,000,000.00	7.69%	$64,000,000.00	25.00%	'-3.93%	22.05%	2	$314,800.00	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Malkin, Evgeni		PIT		C, LW	L	39	UFA		1	$6,739,200.00	6.48%	$6,739,200.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Lee, Anders		NYI		LW	L	35	UFA		2	$6,406,400.00	6.16%	$12,812,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Coyle, Charlie		CBJ		C, RW	R	34	UFA		3	$5,803,200.00	5.58%	$17,409,600.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Sherwood, Kiefer		VAN	SJS	RW	R	31	UFA		5	$5,744,266.67	5.52%	$28,721,333.33	$104,000,000.00	5	$5,750,000.00	5.53%	$28,750,000.00	0.00%	0.10%	0.10%	0	$5,733.33	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Bunting, Michael		DAL		LW, RW	L	30	UFA		3	$5,737,333.33	5.52%	$17,212,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Dvorak, Christian		PHI	PHI	C, LW	L	30	UFA		4	$5,689,666.67	5.47%	$22,758,666.67	$104,000,000.00	5	$5,150,000.00	4.95%	$25,750,000.00	20.00%	'-10.48%	11.62%	1	$539,666.67	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Schwartz, Jaden		SEA		LW	L	34	UFA		2	$5,597,800.00	5.38%	$11,195,600.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Bjorkstrand, Oliver		TBL		RW	R	31	UFA		3	$5,565,155.56	5.35%	$16,695,466.67	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Marchment, Mason		CBJ		LW	L	31	UFA		3	$5,340,400.00	5.14%	$16,021,200.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Jenner, Boone		CBJ		C, LW	L	33	UFA		3	$5,226,000.00	5.03%	$15,678,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Pageau, Jean-Gabriel		NYI	NYI	C	R	33	UFA		3	$4,886,400.00	4.70%	$14,659,200.00	$104,000,000.00	3	$4,850,000.00	4.66%	$14,550,000.00	0.00%	'-0.75%	'-0.75%	0	$36,400.00	Midseason 25-26	Extension

 

[zeke]

https://www.afpanalytics.com/nhl-contract-projections

oh hey nick schmaltz is ufa.

 

[Hoss]

oh hey nick schmaltz is ufa.

I thought he just reupped

 

[zeke]

ah mindz' list isn't updated.

 

[MindzEye]

Top 15 D

Andersson, Rasmus		VGK		RD	R	29	UFA		7	$9,021,527.27	8.67%	$63,150,690.91	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Trouba, Jacob		ANA		RD	R	32	UFA		4	$6,505,672.73	6.26%	$26,022,690.91	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Carlson, John		ANA		RD	R	36	UFA		3	$6,154,200.00	5.92%	$18,462,600.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Raddysh, Darren		TBL		RD	R	30	UFA		4	$5,327,771.43	5.12%	$21,311,085.71	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Ferraro, Mario		SJS		LD	L	27	UFA		4	$5,015,920.00	4.82%	$20,063,680.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Blankenburg, Nick		NSH		RD	R	28	UFA		3	$4,405,142.86	4.24%	$13,215,428.57	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Klingberg, John		SJS		RD	R	33	UFA		2	$4,391,400.00	4.22%	$8,782,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Malinski, Sam		COL	COL	LD, RD	R	27	UFA		3	$4,079,111.11	3.92%	$12,237,333.33	$104,000,000.00	4	$4,750,000.00	4.57%	$19,000,000.00	25.00%	14.12%	35.59%	1	$670,888.89	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Peeke, Andrew		BOS		RD	R	28	UFA		4	$4,024,800.00	3.87%	$16,099,200.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Oleksiak, Jamie		SEA		LD	L	33	UFA		3	$3,941,600.00	3.79%	$11,824,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Murphy, Connor		EDM		RD	R	33	UFA		2	$3,640,000.00	3.50%	$7,280,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Kulak, Brett		COL		LD	L	32	UFA		3	$3,627,520.00	3.49%	$10,882,560.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Gudas, Radko		ANA		RD	R	36	UFA		1	$3,584,533.33	3.45%	$3,584,533.33	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Jensen, Nick		OTT		RD	R	35	UFA		1	$3,575,000.00	3.44%	$3,575,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Shea, Ryan		PIT		LD	L	29	UFA		3	$3,426,453.33	3.29%	$10,279,360.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension

 

[MindzEye]

ah mindz' list isn't updated.

His extension is listed there. I was posting this in one part as a market list, and another part to show how AFP has done with their projections this year so far.

 

[MyNameIsJonas]

Top 15 D

Andersson, Rasmus		VGK		RD	R	29	UFA		7	$9,021,527.27	8.67%	$63,150,690.91	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Trouba, Jacob		ANA		RD	R	32	UFA		4	$6,505,672.73	6.26%	$26,022,690.91	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Carlson, John		ANA		RD	R	36	UFA		3	$6,154,200.00	5.92%	$18,462,600.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Raddysh, Darren		TBL		RD	R	30	UFA		4	$5,327,771.43	5.12%	$21,311,085.71	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Ferraro, Mario		SJS		LD	L	27	UFA		4	$5,015,920.00	4.82%	$20,063,680.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Blankenburg, Nick		NSH		RD	R	28	UFA		3	$4,405,142.86	4.24%	$13,215,428.57	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Klingberg, John		SJS		RD	R	33	UFA		2	$4,391,400.00	4.22%	$8,782,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Malinski, Sam		COL	COL	LD, RD	R	27	UFA		3	$4,079,111.11	3.92%	$12,237,333.33	$104,000,000.00	4	$4,750,000.00	4.57%	$19,000,000.00	25.00%	14.12%	35.59%	1	$670,888.89	Midseason 25-26	Extension
Peeke, Andrew		BOS		RD	R	28	UFA		4	$4,024,800.00	3.87%	$16,099,200.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Oleksiak, Jamie		SEA		LD	L	33	UFA		3	$3,941,600.00	3.79%	$11,824,800.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Murphy, Connor		EDM		RD	R	33	UFA		2	$3,640,000.00	3.50%	$7,280,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Kulak, Brett		COL		LD	L	32	UFA		3	$3,627,520.00	3.49%	$10,882,560.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Gudas, Radko		ANA		RD	R	36	UFA		1	$3,584,533.33	3.45%	$3,584,533.33	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Jensen, Nick		OTT		RD	R	35	UFA		1	$3,575,000.00	3.44%	$3,575,000.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension
Shea, Ryan		PIT		LD	L	29	UFA		3	$3,426,453.33	3.29%	$10,279,360.00	$104,000,000.00										Midseason 25-26	Extension

Tre would have given Nick Jensen 3 years.

 

[zeke]

look at trouba oleksiak peeke gudas.......brad boner central.

 

[MindzEye]

Tre would have given Nick Jensen 3 years.

Last year the two biggest outlier contracts in comparison to that same company's projections were Domi and Tanev.

 

[MyNameIsJonas]

look at trouba oleksiak peeke gudas.......brad boner central.

Yeah Oleksiak and Peeke are pure Tre.

He probably gets saved from Trouba who wont come to Canada

 

[MindzEye]

look at trouba oleksiak peeke gudas.......brad boner central.

Brad would 100% have overpaid Trouba to come to Canada if he could have gotten him.

 

[MyNameIsJonas]

After that top 4 its so damn grim

I really think they should investigate a Hamilton trade if they can.

I think he might be affordable, but Mehta might not move him.

 

[MindzEye]

Nah, Blankenberg might actually be good. There's a bunch of sneaky #4's on that list after the top 4. Fuck Gudas and his entire family tree, but he's always been a good psychopath #4. Ferraro isn't shut down pairing good, but he's not bad either. Slot him in with a good blueline in a good system and he's probably a pretty good 3-4 as well. Shea another weird one, if he's sheltered he's probably a good 4-5 as well.

 

[worm]

You think someone is going to make him the 11th highest earning defender in the league?

Depends. Is Dorian the nucks gm?

 

[MindzEye]

Depends. Is Dorian the nucks gm?

Not yet.

 

[leafman101]

View: https://x.com/craigsmorgan/status/2051786769021239539?s=46

 

[MindzEye]

So, uhhh...statue for Pelley?


View: https://bsky.app/profile/oilersnation.bsky.social/post/3ml5al5irab2z

 

[trujaysfan]

Is this a 30 min or 60 min draft lottery thing?

 

[Preston]

I'm very scared. Very scared.

 

[zeke]

pelley insta hall of fame