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No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

zeke said:
the marchand one is just fucking unfair tho. i don't even know that florida gets credit there sure seems like marchand just told them to make it happen.
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It's almost like success breeds success or something.

If that was us as defending cup champions, maybe he's forcing his way here instead?
 
Speaking of Jones he has 0 5v5 points, and is the worst defensive player on the panthers by 0.7 xga/60 despite getting the most ozone starts by a lot.

So he didn’t get magically better overnight.

And now he’s gotta take Ekblads minutes.
 
leafman101 said:
Speaking of Jones he has 0 5v5 points, and is the worst defensive player on the panthers by 0.7 xga/60 despite getting the most ozone starts by a lot.

So he didn’t get magically better overnight.

And now he’s gotta take Ekblads minutes.
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yeah he's padded some stats on the PP this year tbh.

and it's not like those teams have built teams with way more skill.


Here's 2yr 5v5 averages of p/60 and p1/60, in gneral order of current toi (i had to guess a bit as to who would play / play more at the bottom of the lineup after the new adds for each):


Screenshot 2025-03-11 215647.png​
 
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Leaving Chicago everyone was saying he could play less minutes and have a bit of shelter...and now this. Back to top pair big minutes.

Eff the panthers
 
Toronto Maple Leafs
Stanley Cup chances: 8 percent

If you’ve been wondering why Toronto’s Cup odds have been high all season despite the team looking strangely mid for most of it, the answer is right there in the depth chart: Anthony Stolarz, with a bafflingly high Net Rating. Toronto’s skaters rank eighth in the league, well behind all the other top teams, but Stolarz is, apparently, the great equalizer.

Here’s why that is. Over the last two years, only Hellebuyck has saved more goals above expected than Stolarz’s 43.2. And he’s done that over just 51 games. On a per-game basis, here are the top 10 among goalies that have played 50 games.

Anthony Stolarz: 0.85
Connor Hellebuyck: 0.74
Jacob Markstrom: 0.44
Sam Montembeault: 0.43
Logan Thompson: 0.43
Igor Shesterkin: 0.42
Thatcher Demko: 0.40
Linus Ullmark: 0.40
Joey Daccord: 0.38
Lukas Dostal: 0.36
The model can only regress a small sample so much when the results are that bafflingly good.

What that means is the Leafs are now considered a team that lives and dies by its goalie, a potentially terrifying thought given the randomness of the position — and Stolarz’s light resume. Considering the Leafs used to have to win despite goaltending, though, it may be a comforting thought knowing that the team is in relatively safe hands with Stolarz.
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The Leafs are not a perfect team and have weirdly struggled to control the puck this season. The team’s 47.5 percent expected goals rate since January 1, worst among playoff teams, has not gone unnoticed and is why the team’s skaters don’t grade out as strongly as usual. The model is performing a balancing act between what the team once was and what they are now. The underlying result is a team that gets 54 percent of the goals at five-on-five — same as usual — but their method of getting there does look less sustainable, which is a concern.

The talent on the roster is there to control the scoring chance battle more going forward, especially with Laughton and Carlo. The biggest reason to be-Leaf right now is that the Leafs finally have the goaltending to go the distance — they just can’t keep using it as a crutch.
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www.nytimes.com

NHL trade deadline aftermath: New Stanley Cup favorites emerge as dust settles

It's time to assess what each team has done to date, what they’ve added to help with that, and where they land relative to the field.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
 
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