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Around the League 2019-2026 Edition

Chayka is still young and has much to learn about gming and I believe he will learn. I hope his lesson this year is to relax and be patient. No need to blow your entire load on July 1st.
 
I have my fair share of questions about Mantha being a legit 30 goal scorer and whatnot obviously.. clearly much of the league agreed. And they ended up over-correcting to the other side in the end. He was probably asking for nearly double that on July 1st tbh. Leafs sign him to that deal over Sissons and I'd be Toronto Maple Laughing about their offensive depth going into next year.
 
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5v5 last year

Roslovic - 0.86 ixg/60, 11.9 sh%, 8.88 oiSH%, -0.15 rel xG%, 9.02 dzs%, 1.01 QoC
Mantha - 0.85 ixg/60, 22.5 sh%, 13.38 oiSH%, -0.22 rel xG%, 3.01 dzs%, 0.83 QoC
 
I do agree that last year everything went right for mantha and he's not too unlike roslovic from the perspective of being a flawed, frustrating, inconsistent, but talented offensive player. He's had a better, more productive career than Roslovic overall and is maybe a little better at most, but not wildly different caliber of players. You would have thought his lucky season last year would get him at least a million more. GMs smartened up on July 1st after he probably asked for big bucks and that likely cost him 1-2m per year.

All that is to say that no, I'm not mad about the Roslovic signing vs the others. Signing offensive depth is fine. But if you're gonna spend 4+ on a second forward it probably should have been this dude or someone like him and not a certified clear 4th liner.
 
22% shooting percentage is elite level and not sustainable for someone like Mantha

His career s% is bloated from last year and in 23-24

If he converts on an 12-13% avg, on 152 shots, its ~19 goals.

In 23-24 he scored 23 goals on only 113 shots. With an avg s% of around 12% it nets out to around 14 goals.

So sure he scored 33 goals last year, which was the first time his his career at 31 yrs old that he scored more than 25, but he also did it at an in insanley high 22% shooting percentage.

It was also the first time in his career he scored more than 48 pts.

I’d bet on a regression year from him.
 
Preston said:
I do agree that last year everything went right for mantha and he's not too unlike roslovic from the perspective of being a flawed, frustrating, inconsistent, but talented offensive player. He's had a better, more productive career than Roslovic overall and is maybe a little better at most, but not wildly different caliber of players. You would have thought his lucky season last year would get him at least a million more. GMs smartened up on July 1st after he probably asked for big bucks and that likely cost him 1-2m per year.

All that is to say that no, I'm not mad about the Roslovic signing vs the others. Signing offensive depth is fine. But if you're gonna spend 4+ on a second forward it probably should have been this dude or someone like him and not a certified clear 4th liner.
Click to expand...

Roslovic will probably coast most of the year based on past history. In the end Scissons might well help the team more overall.
 
They also needed a center. Mantha isn’t a good alternative, Sissons is a borderline 3C like Roy/Laughton, both who got traded for 1st.

We overpaid him for sure, but that is typical with centers and we overpaid in money not draft capital.

I’m not sure a better option has moved so far this offseason, other than maybe Paul.

Meanwhile there are still plenty of potential 20 goal wingers unsigned (Bunting, Kane, Perron, Tarasenko, Tolvanen)
 
a big part of the sissons signing is that he was a legit valuable part of the Knights' 3rd line for their cup run.

whether it's smart to judge him on a playoffs run is up for debate - but at the same time Sissons has made the playoffs most every year he's been in the league and played more than just a 4th line part in all of those years.

the most common lines for their playoffs run:

Barbashev - Eichel - Dorofyev
Howden - Karlsson - Marner
Hertl - Sissons - Stone
C.Smith - Dowd - Kolesar​

I guess there is some debate on whether Sissons or Hertl played more C, though with karlsson's injury they both needed to at times. But I think in general when healthy Sissons was the 3C for the playoffs.

Though Sissons also spent lots of time with Dowd and Smith, with Stone up on the Eichel line and Hertl filling in for Karlsson at 2C.


Playoffs 5v5

C Eichel 22gms, 30.8toi% (-10.0dzs%), 51.4xgf% (+0.9rel), 1.40p1/60, 1.93p/60, 1.67avg
W Barbashev 22gms, 30.8toi% (-8.6toi%), 48.6xgf% (-2.9rel), 1.57p1/60, 2.10p/60, 1.86avg
W Dorofyev 22gms, 25.4toi% (-5.9dzs%), 48.9xgf% (-3.1rel), 1.69p1/60, 1.91p/60, 1.81avg

C Karlsson 15gms, 28.3toi% (+3.4dzs%), 55.4xgf% (+3.2rel), 1.98p1/60, 2.27p/60, 2.13avg
W Marner 22gms, 29.7toi% (-3.4toi%), 53.9xgf% (+1.6rel), 2.18p1/60, 2.54p/60, 2.36avg
W Howden 22gms, 26.8toi% (+0.9dzs%), 53.3xgf% (+1.3rel), 1.81p1/60, 2.62p/60, 2.22avg

C Sissons 22gms, 23.3toi% (+6.9dzs%), 51.2xgf% (-1.2rel), 0.92p1/60, 1.62p/60, 1.28avg
W Stone 17gms, 26.8toi% (-7.5dzs%), 48.4xgf% (-3.7rel), 1.04p1/60, 1.80p/60, 1.42avg
W Hertl 22gms, 19.6toi% (+2.3dzs%), 57.2xgf% (+4.7rel), 1.10p1/60, 1.10p/60, 1.10avg

C Dowd 22gms, 22.3toi% (+10.2dzs%), 50.0xgf% (-1.6rel), 0.48p1/60, 0.73p/60, 0.61avg
W C.Smith 22gms, 21.3toi% (+9.1dzs%), 49.1xgf% (-2.5rel), 0.76p1/60, 1.26p/60, 1.01avg
W Kolesar 21gms, 18.2toi% (+3.8dzs%), 52.9xgf% (-0.1rel), 0.31p/160, 0.31p/60, 0.31avg
 
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