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GDT: Canes v. Avs 12/5 7:00

That game felt strangely like an almost must win tonight with the way things have been the past week…much needed and a feeling of relief.
 
Happy the win…extra happy that I put $10 on the over!
I just used a free bonus bet on the SGP I mentioned with Necas and NateMack goals, so no loss, but Nate coming up empty cost me a $52 freebie, but my Lions can save the night if they cover the 3.5 pts against the Cheeseheads, but that ain't looking great at the moment. 🦁
 
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Quick thoughts:

1) On one Avs rush Burns looked like he was skating in molasses; my gods it feels like I could hang with him for the first 50ft - and that's a bad thing
2) Svech hasn't been as bad as people say, nor has he been good. His PPG is right in line where it has been every year but his rookie (mid .80s), and he's running hot and cold. On the PP he's standing beside the goal and I bet he doesn't skate 20 feet sometimes during the PP, that's the killer, he has to start moving from the side to the front to the side and making the goalie work for vision. I also will always harp that he needs to use his body to make space first, and everything else he does well comes from that. Those ENGs help that PPG as well, but that's always been true.
3) Teams are figuring out how to beat us on turnover rushes, and rolling Burnsie 20:00+ ain't ever going to be the solution to that
4) PK let in one he should have had, and the breakaway you can't blame him, it was like a penalty shot, no Cane was even close by.

Good effort for most of it, still room to improve.
 
I think Svech is doing fine overall, but something has happened to his touch with the puck. I think Necas may have stolen it and added it to his own touch.
 
Quick thoughts:


2) Svech hasn't been as bad as people say, nor has he been good. His PPG is right in line where it has been every year but his rookie (mid .80s), and he's running hot and cold. On the PP he's standing beside the goal and I bet he doesn't skate 20 feet sometimes during the PP, that's the killer, he has to start moving from the side to the front to the side and making the goalie work for vision. I also will always harp that he needs to use his body to make space first, and everything else he does well comes from that. Those ENGs help that PPG as well, but that's always been true.
Good comments re Svech on the PP. He's not Ovi and hanging out for the sometimes (almost never) clear pass and one-timer isn't making the most of his natural abilities. Try something different.
 
Good comments re Svech on the PP. He's not Ovi and hanging out for the sometimes (almost never) clear pass and one-timer isn't making the most of his natural abilities. Try something different.
They kept trying to find him at the back post for a tap in, but the Avs D collapsed and prevented the pass. One got through, Necas hit the post but Svech was right there and he probably kicked himself at missing the tap in.
 
They kept trying to find him at the back post for a tap in, but the Avs D collapsed and prevented the pass. One got through, Necas hit the post but Svech was right there and he probably kicked himself at missing the tap in.
One thing Carolina has been doing better on the PP is using the space they get from teams countering the back door and cross crease passes. That means they need to keep trying to connect on those low percentage plays because they're actually creating room on the strong side that the guys are doing a pretty good job of exploiting for chances. Fans get frustrated with patterns that aren't working but sometimes they ARE working ... just not in the way you expect.
 
Quick thoughts:

1) On one Avs rush Burns looked like he was skating in molasses; my gods it feels like I could hang with him for the first 50ft - and that's a bad thing
2) Svech hasn't been as bad as people say, nor has he been good. His PPG is right in line where it has been every year but his rookie (mid .80s), and he's running hot and cold. On the PP he's standing beside the goal and I bet he doesn't skate 20 feet sometimes during the PP, that's the killer, he has to start moving from the side to the front to the side and making the goalie work for vision. I also will always harp that he needs to use his body to make space first, and everything else he does well comes from that. Those ENGs help that PPG as well, but that's always been true.
3) Teams are figuring out how to beat us on turnover rushes, and rolling Burnsie 20:00+ ain't ever going to be the solution to that
4) PK let in one he should have had, and the breakaway you can't blame him, it was like a penalty shot, no Cane was even close by.

Good effort for most of it, still room to improve.
Yeah, Burns had a decent game overall but he had some really bad moments that were mostly from his slow take-offs and his heavy feet led to that rebound goal by Nichuskin as well. This is the easiest thing to spot when I'm banging on about him slowing down and causing issues. That penalty Staal took in the 3rd was the same thing. MacKinnon gave him the quick spin off the wall and Staal just can't change direction as quickly as he used to. Age, baby. It's undefeated.

On Svech, I'm still convinced that he really just needs to get a clean shot to drop so he can start shooting it with confidence instead of hope. He's such an emotion driven player that when he gets down on himself it impacts every aspect of his game.

And yeah ... everybody's trying to fly the zone on the Canes right now. Some teams are better at it than others, but it's a counter-tactic to Carolina's recycle game where they try to jump on the second pass after losing possession in the o-zone. Teams are flying a forward up the middle to split the Canes D and teams with good passing defensemen are making connections. That pass from Makar on the Lehkonen was a freaking masterpiece ... crisp, pacey and delicate all at the same time. That said, Colorado tried that trick about 50 times last night and got what? Two guys loose? And how many ended up in turnovers? 10 or 12? The math favored the Canes.
 
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They kept trying to find him at the back post for a tap in, but the Avs D collapsed and prevented the pass. One got through, Necas hit the post but Svech was right there and he probably kicked himself at missing the tap in.
If you're gonna miss that tap in, you have to be doing something else then. If you're just gonna stand there, you need to connect on 100% of the passes that get through imho.

To JB's point, it's fine if the pocket collapses and it opens up something else, but if the puck is right there bury it for (my) sake.
 
Quick thoughts:

1) On one Avs rush Burns looked like he was skating in molasses; my gods it feels like I could hang with him for the first 50ft - and that's a bad thing
2) Svech hasn't been as bad as people say, nor has he been good. His PPG is right in line where it has been every year but his rookie (mid .80s), and he's running hot and cold. On the PP he's standing beside the goal and I bet he doesn't skate 20 feet sometimes during the PP, that's the killer, he has to start moving from the side to the front to the side and making the goalie work for vision. I also will always harp that he needs to use his body to make space first, and everything else he does well comes from that. Those ENGs help that PPG as well, but that's always been true.
3) Teams are figuring out how to beat us on turnover rushes, and rolling Burnsie 20:00+ ain't ever going to be the solution to that
4) PK let in one he should have had, and the breakaway you can't blame him, it was like a penalty shot, no Cane was even close by.

Good effort for most of it, still room to improve.
I've pointed out #2 on more than one occasion this year but last night I harped on it even more because it's clear as day to pick up...the chances of Necas or Aho or anyone threading that pass to Svech on the side there is such a low percentage chance most of the time...when he had the considerable net front presence on the Nachos winner that's where he is served best and doing his best work. The guy is as strong as an ox when he wants to be, movement on the PP for him along with his screens in front and making the D work hard to clear him out is where he is served best, that's tough sledding in the dirty areas but the Canes are paying him top power forward money for a reason!
 
I've pointed out #2 on more than one occasion this year but last night I harped on it even more because it's clear as day to pick up...the chances of Necas or Aho or anyone threading that pass to Svech on the side there is such a low percentage chance most of the time...when he had the considerable net front presence on the Nachos winner that's where he is served best and doing his best work. The guy is as strong as an ox when he wants to be, movement on the PP for him along with his screens in front and making the D work hard to clear him out is where he is served best, that's tough sledding in the dirty areas but the Canes are paying him top power forward money for a reason!
Necas’ PP goal was a direct result of Wedgewood having a mask full of Svech’s ass. No way he was ever going to see that shot.
 
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