Yeah, obviously we have to take it seriously. Trump is a madman drunk on power and completely untethered from reality. Therefore wildly unpredictable. But I've read enough opinions from people in the know to conclude it's really quite unlikely he'd launch an actual invasion. Less than 1% likely. He himself and his followers say he's the "no war" president. A significant number of high-ranking people in Washington and in the Armed Forces would refuse. There would be mass demonstrations, like millions of people in the streets. The question would be asked about why the U.S. should spend a trillion dollars to attack a friendly neighbour. And while I would not bet a penny on these cowards, I think even some Republicans would be on board with impeachment at that point.
And also, it would invoke NATO protection, would it not? I think Europe would have to get involved. Obviously we need to prepare in advance, beef up our military and drone tech, quietly chat with the Euros behind the scenes.
But it's much more likely to be an economic war that he's already in the process of starting. Even if I think sanity will prevail here too, we have to take this threat as 100% serious. It's not just us either, there will be tariffs going both ways all around the world if this idiocy continues.
