No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

[CH1]

Then why would the Leafs be significantly higher than the teams ahead of them currently?

Wins are noisy. How many times do you need to hear it?

 

[axlsalinger]

because in addition to the well-established fact that this team sucks and everybody should be fired, we're also technically the best team

 

[zeke]

Then why would the Leafs be significantly higher than the teams ahead of them currently?

A partial season of Total Points, team or player, doesn't mean what you think it means.

 

[LeafOfFaith]

I’m not even just referring to total points.

We’re like 7th or whatever in your daily xg updates.

 

[mbow30]

Then why would the Leafs be significantly higher than the teams ahead of them currently?

Because for the past 5 games they’ve been a lot better with Tavares in a reduced role.

 

[LeafOfFaith]

Because for the past 5 games they’ve been a lot better with Tavares in a reduced role.

I saw this dumb joke already in your other post.

 

[CH1]

LOF deserves fresh barbs at a minimum

 

[zeke]

I don't know why i keep answering but surely you can understand that there might be better ways to project rosters performance other than just what they've done in 60gms this season with no context?

 

[LeafOfFaith]

I don't know why i keep answering but surely you can understand that there might be better ways to project rosters performance other than just what they've done in 60gms this season with no context?

I mean, it was a simple question, how we’re so favored in that post when the standings and your xg updates put us behind those teams. If your answer is that you don’t know and that they’re using some other actual metrics, that would be sufficient.

 

[zeke]

I mean, it was a simple question, how we’re so favored in that post when the standings and your xg updates put us behind those teams. If your answer is that you don’t know and that they’re using some other actual metrics, that would be sufficient.

Like with all such metrics, they build their models out of detailed individual projections based on multi-year regressed data.

 

[CH1]

Zeke has been manipulating his xg updates lower to decrease expectations

 

[zeke]

View: https://x.com/TheOakLeafs/status/1764354689599000949?s=20

 

[CH1]

Like with all such metrics, they build their models out of detailed individual projections based on multi-year regressed data.

Tl;Dr — I don’t know, LOF

 

[zeke]

Put it this way - MoneyPuck likely projects Tavares as a much better player than his current season point totals suggest!

 

[CH1]

Also, they might be allocating future playing time to players that deviate from Keefe’s usage so far this year

 

[Preston]

Tavares is a career norm on-ice shooting % away from being at a 70 point pace! He has clearly not been great but bad luck has played a role!

 

[CH1]

CRA has also played a role

 

[LeafOfFaith]

Tavares is a career norm on-ice shooting % away from being at a 70 point pace! He has clearly not been great but bad luck has played a role!

Big time. Eye test confirms it for most of the year. That 9 game stretch, he was still getting shots and chances, but nothing was going in.

 

[zeke]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMdcE8jdz70&ab_channel=TheBeatlesVEVO

 

[LeafOfFaith]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMdcE8jdz70&ab_channel=TheBeatlesVEVO

Ha, I’ve somehow never heard this. Truer words have never been spoken or sung, especially in Cali.