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No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

I like patches...he has it in him to do something big for us in the playoffs with a big goal from the third line or a big hit that takes out someone big
 
Pacioretty was a deeply stupid signing.

He triggered all of his bonuses this year, didn't he? They would count on next year's cap if they did. Super worth 37 games of a guy that can barely skate anymore.
 
MindzEye said:
Pacioretty was a deeply stupid signing.

He triggered all of his bonuses this year, didn't he? They would count on next year's cap if they did. Super worth 37 games of a guy that can barely skate anymore.
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I mean, I’ve been ranting about this since before we even signed him.

Every game he dressed for, every opportunity he got on a scoring line and every minute of ice-time he was handed would’ve been better spent on younger players already in the organization, rather than a shitty, thoroughly broken old vet.

And he had two bonus thresholds in his deal. $313K for playing 10 games & another $313K for playing 35 games. So yep—he hit them both and yep—every dollar of those bonuses will come off next year’s cap.
 
Hes 7th on the team in 5v5 G/60 and P/60. Kinda hoping he actually does come back and take a useless player out.

The real mistake was LTIRing him and paying a 1st and Grebenkin to replace him with Laughton.
 
leafman101 said:
Hes 7th on the team in 5v5 G/60 and P/60. Kinda hoping he actually does come back and take a useless player out.

The real mistake was LTIRing him and paying a 1st and Grebenkin to replace him with Laughton.
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Could not possibly care less about the nerd stats when he’s rocking 5 goals & 13 points in 37 games.

He sucks and I sincerely hope he’s played his last game for this team.
 
you seem to be complaining both about him stealing time and about him not playing.

he obviously is healthy enough to play right now. and he's not stealing time from anyone.

and he's been as good or better than anyone outside the top-6.
 
Of the lines that have played > 50 mins together, only 4 have a > 50% xGF, Knies-Matthews-Marner (58%), McMann-Tavares-Nylander (68%), McMann-Matthews-Marner (55.8%), Holmberg-Tavares-Nylander (62.1%). So basically anyone can play with Matthews-Marner, Tavares-Nylander.

I'd try

Robertson-Matthews-Marner
Holmberg-Tavares-Nylander
Knies-Domi-McMann
Patches-Laughton-Lorentz
 
Screenshot 2025-03-27 194337.png


Patches did slip after a hot start (both production wise and nerdy wise) but he's still at solid 3rd line production 5v5. Along with Domi. Laughton technically is there too but he's slipping fast down to borderline 3rd production every game since the trade.

Robby and Krok so far have given us borderline 3rd line production. Kind of production that looks better from a 4th line tho.

Lorentz and Kampf have given us 4th line production. Not completely useless offensively but close. But they're there purely for defense.

Holmberg and Reaves not even acceptable 4th line production tho.
 
Wanted to take a look and see whether the discrepancy between our record and our nerdies had anything to do with QoC. seems like it might.

Vs 1-8: 14gms, 46.4xgf%, 82pt pace
Vs 9-16: 19gms, 52.0xgf%, 91pt pace

Vs 1-16: 33gms, 49.3xgf%, 87pt pace

So against the good teams things look pretty decent and normal. Not as good as we want to be vs the very top teams, but overall winning more than losing against the good teams, with pretty even nerdies. Funny note about the nerdies against the top-8 there is the biggest culprit in that weak number is the one game we got absolute smashed in the nerdies by the Kings (21%) while trouncing them by 4 goals 6-2. Maybe i should check whether we're doing something weird with the score effect stituations this year maybe.


Vs 17-24: 19gms, 49.1xgf%, 95pt pace
Vs 25-32: 19gms, 49.3xgf%, 138pt pace

Vs 17-32: 38gms, 49.2xgf%, 117pt pace

So here's where the overachiving the nerdies come in. We put up the same mediocre nerdies against the bad teams as we do against the good teams, but we smash them up on the scoreboard anyways. Why we don't put up better nerdies against the bad teams is a bit of a mystery to me. But this is also kind of funny - in previous years, we smashed the bad teams in the nerdies while often stumbling against them on the scoreboard, while this year we just smash them the scoreboard instead. I wonder if that means anything.


That being said the nerdie number against that top quartile there should be better. If we can't do better than 46.4xgf% in series against the contenders we're going to be in tough. Here are the actual 5v5 numbers against the top teams:


WSH (3gm, 1-2-0, -4): 7.89xgf, 7.24xga = 52.2xgf%
WPG (2gm, 1-1-0, -1): 4.90xgf, 4.16xga = 54.1xgf%
DAL (2gm, 1-1-0, -1): 2.91xgf, 4.22xga = 40.8xgf%
VGK (2gm, 1-1-0, +0): 3.82xgf, 4.83xga = 44.2xgf%
LAK (1gm, 1-0-0, +4): 0.95xgf, 3.48xga = 21.5xgf%
CAR (2gm, 1-1-0, +0): 5.16xgf, 5.25xga = 49.6xgf%
COL (2gm, 1-1-0, -2): 3.60xgf, 4.57xga = 44.1xgf%
TOR ---
FLA (2gm, 0-2-0, -5): 3.07xgf, 2.75xga = 52.8xgf%
EDM (2gm, 2-0-0, +2): 2.98xgf, 3.69xga = 44.7xgf%
TBL (3gm, 3-0-0, +7): 5.53xgf, 6.11xga = 47.5xgf%


We have 5 measuring stick games left on the year. Against the red hot Kings (5th overall), against the Canes (6th) with both teams on a back to back, 2 against the Panthers (9th) with the panthers on a back to back in the first one, and 1 against the Bolts (11th) with us on a back to back. All these games should matter for both teams so it'll be interesting to see how we look.
 
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