One or two excuses & probably quite limited! The "ah fuck, here we go again" playoff thread
- Thread starter MindzEye
- Start date
zeke
Well-known member
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
Love a coach who doesn’t even care in-game while we’re getting atomic wedgies from the opposition.
Wayward DP
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lol so the players took their lead from the coach these past few games? dunno if I'm encouraged by that or not
CRL
Well-known member
This would be 100% correct with different coach, but unfortunately this guy will find the way, if not I will take everything I said about him back and admit it
With good PP and PK we would go far but not this time, quick exit coming up
zeke
Well-known member
zeke
Well-known member
Player ratings seem to change significantly based on where they slot in the lineup. Here's the lineups Domi is using to rate the series:
Based on these, Boston isn't leaving much in the press box.
But of course the Leafs have some options to significantly upgrade that lineup if they want.
Based on these, Boston isn't leaving much in the press box.
But of course the Leafs have some options to significantly upgrade that lineup if they want.
zeke
Well-known member
Player ratings seem to change significantly based on where they slot in the lineup. Here's the lineups Domi is using to rate the series:
Based on these, Boston isn't leaving much in the press box.
But of course the Leafs have some options to significantly upgrade that lineup if they want.
so Dom clarified something with me.
The Player Cards available throughout the season have both Current Net Rating and Forecast Net Rating on them. I always use Forecast Net Rating because I thought it was pure Projected Future Net Rating/Value But Forecast Net Rating is actually "Current Net Rating + Projected Net Rating over the rest of the season", not just pure Projected Future Value. i.e. the player cards were trying to show how much single season net rating a player has accumulated and how much more they were likely to accumulate over the rest of the current season.
But the ratings on these playoffs comps here are pure Projected Net Rating/Value going forward. I guess we could phrase it as "what would they most likely accumulate over a full season starting tommorrow". Which means these ratings on the playoffs cards are imo the most accurate descriptor of "how good is this player right now". So these are better numbers than the ones I was using in season.
Of course, these player ratings are also influences by a player's projected usage - so a player will be hurt by playing 4th line minutes with 4th line linemates, and boosted if he's playing top lines. Also whether he's slotted to play on the PP, etc.
So Knies is at -6 there, but would likely be better than that if he was slotted on a higher line.
The most worrisome numbers on the Leafs' lineup there imo are actually Holmberg at -6 slotted at 3C with Willy on his wing, and Boosh at -8 slotted on the top pair with Mo by his side.
I didn't think Holmberg would come out looking awesome here but i thought he'd come out looking better than that. I wonder if there's any chance of Jarnkrok being tried at 3C there. I wouldn't mind it.
And yeah I do want Brodie playing over Boosh in that slot, but i'm also not ignoring that Brodie has been really weak this year and that he's definitely not a perfect fit there either.
But I will say that if we play Boosh, Benoit, and Eddy all together like this, they better fucking pound the bruins phsyically, because you know they're gonna be only ok defensively and useless offensively. They better tenderize the bruins, and somehow not keep us permanently shorthanded in the process.
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
Pasta, McAvoy and the goalies are that whole team.
Hoss
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This prediction does lend itself to the fork in the matrix/alternate universe prediction I made previously where.
The leafs do make it to the ECF and play Carolina, but LOSE. Canes end up losing to Dallas and Leafs fire Keefe, Brindamour isn't paid by Carolina despite losing in the finals and the leafs win the cup next year.
zeke
Well-known member
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
He’s just getting autographs.
We already have the requisite 10 D.
We already have the requisite 10 D.
zeke
Well-known member
so using the pure forward-looking Net Ratings from the Playoffs Preview:
(Note: the players listed as extras here only have their season-ending regular season forecast net ratings, so their ratings aren't necessarily plug-in-able.)
the most upgradeable options would be:
- plug in Robertson for a Dewar or Holmberg or Kampf. But that would depend on whether you think a Dewar or Jarnkrok could handle playing C, so not necessarily a lock to be an upgrade.
- Brodie in for Boosh. In any other year this would have been a no-brainer, but brodie has unfortunately not been good. I would still go with Brodie but i can't pretend he'd for sure be a positive out there, either.
(Note: the players listed as extras here only have their season-ending regular season forecast net ratings, so their ratings aren't necessarily plug-in-able.)
the most upgradeable options would be:
- plug in Robertson for a Dewar or Holmberg or Kampf. But that would depend on whether you think a Dewar or Jarnkrok could handle playing C, so not necessarily a lock to be an upgrade.
- Brodie in for Boosh. In any other year this would have been a no-brainer, but brodie has unfortunately not been good. I would still go with Brodie but i can't pretend he'd for sure be a positive out there, either.
trujaysfan
Well-known member
What are our roster restrictions for the playoffs?
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
Whatever Brodie is, he’s better than Baboon.