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OT: American Politics


View: https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1815502426952151391/photo/1

this poll is probably jumping the gun as he only withdrew yesterday but imo, trump winning 18-34, women and independents by a lot is pretty suspect.

it says something is pretty fucky imo.


The one that got me was the 46% Trump favourability, with a net -3 favourability. This is a guy who a net -10 or worse is the norm. 538's aggregrate favourability has him at net -12

"we polled 900 people at this Wyoming diner..."
 
On Friday he thought he could win despite everyone around him telling him he can't and the news coverage laser focused on him dropping out - for weeks.

On Saturday he changed his mind.

That must've been some data that came in that day.

There was no way Biden could have said anything other than a full-blooded "im in it to win it" until the moment when he said he was dropping out.
 


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