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OT: American Politics

zeke said:
on that bad side that's two quality polls today that have WI much tighter (1pt) than it looked (3pts).
Click to expand...

Hard to say without getting into #crosstabs but there's a bag of reasons that even good polling can move a few points without public sentiment moving. Shit, even a really good poll has a MoE of 2.5 points, allowing for 5 point swings in total. If that holds up as a durable trend for a handful more polls, yeah maybe get a bit concerned.
 
lol RCP currently lists PA as jumping towards Trump +0.6 on their front page. which also lets them keep Trump in the "no toss ups" election lead.

except that it's actually Harris +0.6 when you click on the state page.
 
poor guys. must have been tough for them, but they did it.

but lol at them moving GA and NC to the top of this list all of a sudden.

Screenshot 2024-09-18 134203.png


Screenshot 2024-09-18 134307.png
 
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