hockeylover
Well-known member
Honestly depressing she might not have the senate. Fingers crossed they somehow get Montana.
OT: American Politics
- Thread starter MindzEye
- Start date
zeke
Well-known member
zeke
Well-known member
zeke
Well-known member
zeke
Well-known member
trujaysfan
Well-known member
How is that stunning? That has been the case for months.
hockeylover
Well-known member
One of the promises of Project 2025 (which flyguy assured us is both a great move and also that Trump has nothing to do with Project 2025).
hockeylover
Well-known member
hockeylover
Well-known member
Pwner
Well-known member
hmmmm..... maybe Liberals are not buying his book as much as he likes 
View: https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1838606642876669964
View: https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1838606642876669964
Preston
MBow30 alt account
His model is back in line with the others
electionforecasts.com
Unlike others here, I don't think he influences much in his model by pulling certain levels that favor Trump to troll the libs. You can call his model wrong or flawed but I don't necessarily think it's about some secret deep dark hatred of the Dems. He is voting for Kamala after all.
2024 US Presidential Forecasts
Aggregator of election forecasts, prediction markets, bookmakers, and current polling
electionforecasts.com
Unlike others here, I don't think he influences much in his model by pulling certain levels that favor Trump to troll the libs. You can call his model wrong or flawed but I don't necessarily think it's about some secret deep dark hatred of the Dems. He is voting for Kamala after all.
worm
Well-known member
We get it. He is one of your alts.His model is back in line with the others
2024 US Presidential Forecasts
Aggregator of election forecasts, prediction markets, bookmakers, and current polling
Unlike others here, I don't think he influences much in his model by pulling certain levels that favor Trump to troll the libs. You can call his model wrong or flawed but I don't necessarily think it's about some secret deep dark hatred of the Dems. He is voting for Kamala after all.
NSFW Imagery
Thought this was going to go the way of that Chinese waterfall
Wayward DP
Well-known member
fucking sadists
Wayward DP
Well-known member
I kinda think FL or NE are more likely than MT at this point, unfortunately...
hockeylover
Well-known member
NE?
Very safe R, no?
Very safe R, no?
Wayward DP
Well-known member
there's an independent running against Deb Fischer (no Dem I don't think) that is polling within the margin of error (+/- 1 from Fischer)
he seems legit - Dan Osborn
zeke
Well-known member
His model is back in line with the others
2024 US Presidential Forecasts
Aggregator of election forecasts, prediction markets, bookmakers, and current polling
Unlike others here, I don't think he influences much in his model by pulling certain levels that favor Trump to troll the libs. You can call his model wrong or flawed but I don't necessarily think it's about some secret deep dark hatred of the Dems. He is voting for Kamala after all.
sure seems clear tho that his "convention bounce" input into his model simply didn't apply to this year's unique race, and created an entirely fictional Trump bounce in his forecast.
not that he should have stuck his nose in there and removed that input, of course. would be nice if he admitted that it misled his forecast this time tho.