Crosstabs are wild looking. Just comparing these numbers to the 2020 exit polls from Florida
Start with age:
18-29
2020: 60-38 D
2024: 51-44 D
30-44
2020: 50-48 R
2024: 57-35 R
45-64
2020: 54-45 R
2024: 58-37 R
65+
2020: 55-45 R
2024: 49-44 R
I'm struggling already. Big shifts towards Trump in every age demo....other than olds?
Gender:
Women
2020: 51-48 D
2024: 49-47 R
Men
2020: 54-45 R
2024: 60-35 R
So like....women in Florida moved towards Trump, and Trump is winning among women? For real?
Race:
White
2020: 62-37 R
2024: 63-35 R
Black
2020: 89-10 D
2024: 73-20 D
Hispanic:
2020: 53-46 D
2024: 47-46 R
Other
2020: 55-44 D
2024: 59-40 R
Region:
Miami Dade
2020: 58-41 D
2024: 48-47 D
North
2020: 58-41 R
2024: 68-30 R
Orlando
2020: 51-48 D
2024: 55-37 D
Tampa
2020: 51-48 R
2024: 57-38 R
There's some other stuff that could be wonky in their LV math as well. They have the black and hispanic percentage of total voters down against 2020, but the "other" up almost the same amount. They have Identified Democrats going down from 30% of the electorate in 2020 to 26% in this poll. Some goofy stuff going on in the education data compared to 2020.
