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OT: American Politics

NC GOP just put out a press release bragging about how their closure of specific early voting stations (and other shenanigans) has resulted in 8% fewer early voting blacks than last election.

Literally just an openly racist, anti-democracy party at this point.

Can you post it?
 
That's Nate's theory....but many disagree. The odds of a polling error (aka margin of error)......all having the identical error, in all necessary states, all in the *same* direction.....is phenomenally low.

I think tying together "states swing one way, other states will follow".....is perfectly fine in terms of believing in momentum & it's value cross state lines, polling trending, etc......but going a step further and tying that to polling errors doing so well, in synchronicity....across the board......is a bridge too far.

The odds of a polling error going in one direction.....is equally possible in both directions......in each individual instance (state).

Them all being wrong.....In the same direction...across states....In precisely the states he needs......is phenomenally low. (Ie - not 33%.....and especially so if you think she's going to win 323 electoral votes).

I don't think they will all be wrong, i just think some are going to have the same factors, like i said Michigan-Penn.... Florida-NC.... etc... are going to be highly correlated.

I don't go as far as Nate does.
 
To simultaneously believe 323 & 33% like Habsy.....one needs to go further than Nate does.


Unless Nate's projection comes out at 320+ tonight at midnight.....which I'd find equal gross.
 
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To simultaneously believe 323 & 33% like Habsy.....one needs to go further than Nate does.


Unless Nate's projection comes out at 320+ tonight at midnight.....which I'd find equal gross.
You're misrepresenting what I said. I believe if the 67% likelihood that Clinton wins she'll win around 323. If Donald does win it will be more than exactly 270. That's my point. If he wins he wins bigger than people think. Same as if he loses.
 
There are good reasons why War and Whore rhymes. . Keep the War sheep herd moving.. keep moving in your illusions and delusions.....

[video=youtube;-0_zOgLlWHM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0_zOgLlWHM[/video]

"Queen of Chaos" - the misadventures of Killary Clinton .. there's a good book for you that you can stick in the book thread.

"The mainstream media is run by the most dishonest people you can ever meet" ~ Donald J Trump
 
There are good reasons why War and Whore rhymes. . Keep the War sheep herd moving.. keep moving in your illusions and delusions.....

[video=youtube;-0_zOgLlWHM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0_zOgLlWHM[/video]

"Queen of Chaos" - the misadventures of Killary Clinton .. there's a good book for you that you can stick in the book thread.

"The mainstream media is run by the most dishonest people you can ever meet" ~ Donald J Trump

Is this you?
 
Can't be him. Anybody who uses terms like "demon rats" and "hitlery", isn't doing so in an ironic fashion, and even if given a free pass to use them once, exceeds that limit in their next sentence ... can't be more than 14.
 
Can't be him. Anybody who uses terms like "demon rats" and "hitlery", isn't doing so in an ironic fashion, and even if given a free pass to use them once, exceeds that limit in their next sentence ... can't be more than 14.

Truth hurts ? Truth is supposed to hurt. As Consciousness does not come without Pain. That is totally impossible, and It is a perfect law in this enchanted multi-dimensional Universe.

PS- How many blacks in Haiti would vote for Hitler-y ?

[video=youtube;7LYRUOd_QoM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LYRUOd_QoM[/video]
 
I can attest that most Haitians detest Clinton. That said, they're a drop in the bucket electorally.
 
71KpvfCqQzL._UL1500_.jpg
 
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