Bleedsblue&white
Well-known member
I'd still like to bet whoever it was that claimed she'd top 440.
Did he say that before Comey tried to influence...I mean, before he followed his conscience?
I'd still like to bet whoever it was that claimed she'd top 440.
NC GOP just put out a press release bragging about how their closure of specific early voting stations (and other shenanigans) has resulted in 8% fewer early voting blacks than last election.
Literally just an openly racist, anti-democracy party at this point.
That's Nate's theory....but many disagree. The odds of a polling error (aka margin of error)......all having the identical error, in all necessary states, all in the *same* direction.....is phenomenally low.
I think tying together "states swing one way, other states will follow".....is perfectly fine in terms of believing in momentum & it's value cross state lines, polling trending, etc......but going a step further and tying that to polling errors doing so well, in synchronicity....across the board......is a bridge too far.
The odds of a polling error going in one direction.....is equally possible in both directions......in each individual instance (state).
Them all being wrong.....In the same direction...across states....In precisely the states he needs......is phenomenally low. (Ie - not 33%.....and especially so if you think she's going to win 323 electoral votes).
You're misrepresenting what I said. I believe if the 67% likelihood that Clinton wins she'll win around 323. If Donald does win it will be more than exactly 270. That's my point. If he wins he wins bigger than people think. Same as if he loses.To simultaneously believe 323 & 33% like Habsy.....one needs to go further than Nate does.
Unless Nate's projection comes out at 320+ tonight at midnight.....which I'd find equal gross.
There are good reasons why War and Whore rhymes. . Keep the War sheep herd moving.. keep moving in your illusions and delusions.....
[video=youtube;-0_zOgLlWHM]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0_zOgLlWHM[/video]
"Queen of Chaos" - the misadventures of Killary Clinton .. there's a good book for you that you can stick in the book thread.
"The mainstream media is run by the most dishonest people you can ever meet" ~ Donald J Trump
Is this you?
It's really not.Oh I understand perfectly what you're trying to sell......I just think it's absurd & illogical
Of course you've got a David Icke video on there.
Can't be him. Anybody who uses terms like "demon rats" and "hitlery", isn't doing so in an ironic fashion, and even if given a free pass to use them once, exceeds that limit in their next sentence ... can't be more than 14.