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OT: The Toronto Blue Jays

Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

you're making a fatal assumption that Eckstein's expected average, walk rate, or speed are anything special......or even enough to offset his lack in SLG relative to other hitters we could put in there.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

your argument doesn't make sense.

it is little use putting a hitter with a high slg percentage in the leadoff spot. you are not going to reap the benefits of that player's full potential batting them leadoff. you don't need a home run hitter in the one spot.

and "anything speical" is a pretty vague measurement. i looked at it in real, relative terms.

eckstein's batting average and obp are both amongst the team's top four. the only players with higher obps from last year were all power hitters. his obp was even higher than rios's.

so it makes a ton of sense to put him in a position to get plenty of at bats to put himself on base for rios/overbay/thomas/rolen/wells. much more sense than it does to put hill, who barely topped a 330 obp last year, or rios, who needs to be in a position where his line drive power can be utilized to drive in runs.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

how often does a leadoff hitter actually leadoff an inning?

how is a double, triple, or homer in the leadoff spot less important than a single or a walk?

we've got plenty of depth of pop in this lineup, so there's no reason why you wouldn't move a power hitter into a non-traditional role here.

besiudes, the difference between eckstein's OBP compared to the likes of Rios and Hill this year will probably be marginal, and it would be no surprise to see both of the youngsters post a better OBP than him. that's because his OBP is only decent, not great.

Only one hitter on the team is likely to post an OBP significantly lower than Eckstein's, and that's Wells....and even that is far from a guarantee.


I like Eckstein, but you seem to think he's much better than he is.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

how often does a leadoff hitter actually leadoff an inning?

what does this have to do with leading off an inning?

it has to do with 1) getting more opportunities at the plate and 2) having a consistent opportunity to hit in front of the teams better hitters.

a leadoff hitter averages 1 more at bat per game than the 8th or 9th hitters. you generally want a player with a high obp and speed in that spot. eckstein fits that role.

besides, how many comparable leadoff hitters can you find to rios?

ow is a double, triple, or homer in the leadoff spot less important than a single or a walk?

because the leadoff hitter is more likely to hit with nobody on base. because he usually either leads off the inning or hits behind the team's weakest hitters.

the difference between eckstein's OBP compared to the likes of Rios and Hill this year will probably be marginal, and it would be no surprise to see both of the youngsters post a better OBP than him. that's because his OBP is only decent, not great.

rios's, yep. but like i said, i'd rather rios hitting in the heart of the order, with some protection by the likes of overbay/thomas or rolen/thomas.

hill? it would be pretty unlikely. eckstein's career obp is .10 points higher. last year his was more htan 20 points higher. over the past three seasnos it's about 18 points higher.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

what does this have to do with leading off an inning?

when you say "wasting a power hitter" in the first place, I'm assuming you're talking about batting with the bases empty - i.e. leading off an inning.

it has to do with 1) getting more opportunities at the plate and 2) having a consistent opportunity to hit in front of the teams better hitters.

a leadoff hitter averages 1 more at bat per game than the 8th or 9th hitters. you generally want a player with a high obp and speed in that spot. eckstein fits that role.

Exactly - you want your better hitters getting 162 more at bats per year than your lesser hitters.

Exactly.

Giving your worst hitter more at bats than anyone doesn't seem like the best way to maximize offesne.

besides, how many comparable leadoff hitters can you find to rios?

from world series winners?

Johnny damon springs to mind. Bernie Williams as well.


because the leadoff hitter is more likely to hit with nobody on base.

not true. Like you said, he gets one extra at bat a game - so he gets that one extra at bat with the bases empty, but then gets the same number of at bats with runners on.

because he usually either leads off the inning or hits behind the team's weakest hitters.

So you have a problem with Rios hitting 1st with Eckstein ahead of him in the 9th spot, but have no problem with Rios hitting 2nd with Eckstein ahead of him at the 1 spot? that doesn't make sense.

Eckstein/Zaun gives you two .350+ obps at the bottom of the lineup, which means the leadoff guy will be getting plento of at bats with runners on base.


rios's, yep. but like i said, i'd rather rios hitting in the heart of the order, with some protection by the likes of overbay/thomas or rolen/thomas.

But this would mean that we're sticking a Rolen or an Overbay or a Stairs all the way down in the 7th spot, while giving a much lesser hitter in Eckstein the #1 spot and the extra at bats.

hill? it would be pretty unlikely. eckstein's career obp is .10 points higher. last year his was more htan 20 points higher. over the past three seasnos it's about 18 points higher.

Hill is a baby. He's nowhere near his best yet, and nobody would be surprised to see him improve signifcantly on his career OVP this season. in fact, many would expect it.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

more at bats for our best hitters means more offense overall.

i like rios in the leadoff spot, but if you knew anything about baseball you would know you want your best hitters in a spot in the lineup to drive in alot of runs. this wont come from the lead off spot.

that's why you got guys like eckstein who can get on base so guys like Rios can drive them in.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

i like rios in the leadoff spot, but if you knew anything about baseball you would know you want your best hitters in a spot in the lineup to drive in alot of runs. this wont come from the lead off spot.

that's why you got guys like eckstein who can get on base so guys like Rios can drive them in.

THANK YOU! :worshippy:
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

I think Rios will have a little more pop in his shots this year.. last year he started to show that power, but apparantly in BP he is just letting them fly... Wells was talking about it and he thinks Rios will improve in his HR numbers
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Plus he is playing for long term deal and you have to think another all star year (3rd straight) with 30-100-20 along with GG defense is gonna get him a 8 figure salary. Motivation will be easy to come by for him.
 
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Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Plus he is playing for long term deal and you have to think another all star year (3rd straight) with 30-100-20 along with GG defense is gonna get him a 10 figure salary. Motivation will be easy to come by for him.

Wow... you think Rios is going to get a billion dollars?

Seriously though, maybe 4 years 50 million if he has another great year. Still has 3 years of arbitration eligibility.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Plus he is playing for long term deal and you have to think another all star year (3rd straight) with 30-100-20 along with GG defense is gonna get him a 10 figure salary. Motivation will be easy to come by for him.

And to think JP wants to deal this guy all the time. He has more raw ability than Wells.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Well I do think if your getting a guy like Lincecum you have to consider it. But yeah of course I'm happy to have him. Him Wells and Snider in a couple years time will be a nice triplet of 1st rd picks for us. Heck throw Lind in there as well
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

I'd keep Overbay around as well. Really just need a catcher and shortshop
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Well what about Adams....tee hee!

Nah, I think Eck will be good for another year or two so maybe a new youngster will emerge then? Dunno.
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

Why do we have such horrible luck with injuries?
On a side note, Janssen just won the Cy Young on my MLB 07 game :D
 
Re: OT - The Toronto Blue Jays

i like rios in the leadoff spot, but if you knew anything about baseball you would know you want your best hitters in a spot in the lineup to drive in alot of runs. this wont come from the lead off spot.

that's why you got guys like eckstein who can get on base so guys like Rios can drive them in.


the thing is, we have many guys who are comparable to Rios in terms of power and run production - all of Wells, Rolen, Thomas, Overbay, and even Stairs can give us similar production numbers in the middle of the lineup.

so, because we have a pretty impressive lineup overall, we can afford a luxury that most teams can't - putting a power hitter up top of the lineup.
 
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