trujaysfan
Well-known member
Always fun when capitalists need socialism to save their investments.
OT: The Toronto Blue Jays
- Thread starter PlayerToBeNamedLater
- Start date
thehabhater
Some call me Tim
At least the Dodgers are winning. The Mets pay out more and have a losing record.
Pwner
Well-known member
these mofo`s have no quit in them
manny
Well-known member
zeke
Well-known member
imo "playoffs odds" are mostly silly. they can and do swing wildly with every hot and cold streak. and seasons are just a collection of streaks.
and the only reason the other wild card competition in other divisions has better "playoffs odds" than the jays is because they still have a shot at first in their divisions, not because they actually have a significantly better shot at winning the wild card itself.
fangraphs projected wins
TEX 81.0
CLE 80.7
DET 80.2
MIN 80.0
SEA 79.1
TOR 78.9
BAL 78.1
It's essentially a pick'em between these teams. And if you like the jays squad better than their performance this year, that should up the odds.
The only reason the other division teams have better playoffs odds is because their projected division winners are
HOU 82.2
CHX 82.1
so they all have decent shots at the non-wild card spots, too.
anyways, playoffs odds are dumb.
and the only reason the other wild card competition in other divisions has better "playoffs odds" than the jays is because they still have a shot at first in their divisions, not because they actually have a significantly better shot at winning the wild card itself.
fangraphs projected wins
TEX 81.0
CLE 80.7
DET 80.2
MIN 80.0
SEA 79.1
TOR 78.9
BAL 78.1
It's essentially a pick'em between these teams. And if you like the jays squad better than their performance this year, that should up the odds.
The only reason the other division teams have better playoffs odds is because their projected division winners are
HOU 82.2
CHX 82.1
so they all have decent shots at the non-wild card spots, too.
anyways, playoffs odds are dumb.
Preston
MBow30 alt account
And here I thought 16% was quite good considering there are 6 teams battling for 1 slot (~16% each if they all have even odds)! With the jays currently holding the second worst record of that group, and only 40 games left, which reduces the impact of any advantage they may have in team quality.
Based on all of that, 16% is some rock star shit. But if you're telling me that the true odds are even better then let's fucking go
Based on all of that, 16% is some rock star shit. But if you're telling me that the true odds are even better then let's fucking go
zeke
Well-known member
How to endear yourself to a fanbase despite having a weak line, brett bateman edition:
Overall 29pa, .259avg, 83wrc+
Bases Empty 15pa, .067avg, -59wrc+
Runners On 14pa, .500avg, 236wrc+
With RISP 11pa, .500avg, 232wrc+
Low Leverage 10pa, .000avg, -100wrc+
Med Leverage 13pa, .364avg, 168wrc+
High Leverage 6pa, .500avg, 235wrc+
Overall 29pa, .259avg, 83wrc+
Bases Empty 15pa, .067avg, -59wrc+
Runners On 14pa, .500avg, 236wrc+
With RISP 11pa, .500avg, 232wrc+
Low Leverage 10pa, .000avg, -100wrc+
Med Leverage 13pa, .364avg, 168wrc+
High Leverage 6pa, .500avg, 235wrc+
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
I'm with zeke. Fuck the numbers.
LeafOfFaith
Well-known member
And Bateman seemingly is enrolled as a student at the Gimenez School for Clutchness.
thehabhater
Some call me Tim
Detroit defeats Cleveland 3-0.
MyNameIsJonas
Well-known member
You basically want Detroit and Cleveland to split with each other
thehabhater
Some call me Tim
But, with a win today, we would pass Cleveland today
thehabhater
Some call me Tim
Just in time for the salary cap too.
