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OT: World Politics

Can Russia afford a 20 year Afghanistan against a much better equipped army with the entire world's support? This is a strategic disaster for them.

"Oh yeah, we'll take over Ukraine in 2 weeks, it will be easy."
just have to hope their economy collapses before they inflict much more suffering. I'm not optimistic sadly... they're gonna go scorched earth and devastate Ukraine as long as they can :(
 
just have to hope their economy collapses before they inflict much more suffering. I'm not optimistic sadly... they're gonna go scorched earth and devastate Ukraine as long as they can :(

At least war and destruction is profitable for America. Russia is fucked. Capitalism >
 
The sanctions won’t help Ukraine. They, along with the unexpected “kinetic” resistance from the Ukrainians, are meant to make this incredibly costly for the Russians and prevent further actions.

At this point I think the outcome of this event is:

1. Russia will annex Ukraine and there will be a very violent guerrilla war and terrorist attacks in Russia for the foreseeable future.
2. Russia will be part of an authoritarian economic block, formally cut off from the west, but countries like KSA and India will be pivots. I have no idea what China will do. The Russian economy will be moribund, at best. The FSB doesn’t give a shit.
3. The EU rearms and goes aggressively green re: energy, which is a reasonably big shift in power. This is a clear loss for the FSB.
4. All if this goes out the window if Trump or a surrogate wins in 2024.
 
I can’t believe I’m asking this because I admit it’s overly hopeful, but is there any chance even Trump supporters will recognize the stench of Trump repeatedly praising Putin in light of what we’re seeing Putin do now? Is that a bridge too far or is that too much credit to the MAGA crowd?
 
well so far they're struggling to make any counterargument stick, at least.

doesn't mean one won't eventually.
 
I can’t believe I’m asking this because I admit it’s overly hopeful, but is there any chance even Trump supporters will recognize the stench of Trump repeatedly praising Putin in light of what we’re seeing Putin do now? Is that a bridge too far or is that too much credit to the MAGA crowd?
Some will but the real trumpers won't.
 
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