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OT: World Politics



They're pulling from the area I was hoping they would pull from, but it looks like they're not pulling as much as they should. They know this is what the Ukies wanted and are trying to not give in. The hope now is that the the Russian force isn't big enough to change the math in Kursk and the Ukies keep exploiting this strategy up and down that barely protected border until it forces enough of a redistribution to open up the Kherson-Crimea push.
 
Ultimately, whatever the eventual outcome in Kursk, every bit of fighting and collateral damage to civilians and infrastructure that takes place inside of Russia proper instead of Ukraine is a plus.
 
They're pulling from the area I was hoping they would pull from, but it looks like they're not pulling as much as they should. They know this is what the Ukies wanted and are trying to not give in. The hope now is that the the Russian force isn't big enough to change the math in Kursk and the Ukies keep exploiting this strategy up and down that barely protected border until it forces enough of a redistribution to open up the Kherson-Crimea push.

I’m skeptical…
 
I’m skeptical…

So am I. I'm theory crafting there fwiw. I'm only assuming that the goal is to force Russian redistribution and to put them in a position where they need to put 20-30K on their border to keep incursions from happening again. It could be a ploy to hold land to negotiate with later, but I'm still working under the assumption that Ukraine will fight until all of their land, including the donbas & crimea is returned.
 
KGB Mafia doesn’t give a shit about these towns and their residents. Means to an end.

They do care about the image of appearing stronk though. That's the blood they pump that keeps the regime alive. It's the social contract that must be upheld if Putin wants to avoid his one real fear, of ending up like Gaddafi.
 
To some extent. Whacking Prigozhin was far more important, IMO. He has a death grip on the elite. The threat to him comes from the inside.
 
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