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OT: World Politics

Wayward DP said:
damned smokers


View: https://x.com/SamRamani2/status/1828059587548700880
Click to expand...


Probably a good time remind people about this:

I was present at CNRL Horizons a bunch of years back for their coke unit fire/explosion. OMSK is a bit bigger than Horizons was at the time (250K bpd vs Omsk's 400K) but there's going to be a lot of similarities among facilities that big regardless.

Welp....when Horizons went down it stayed down for, if memory serves, about 8-10 months. There is a shit ton of specialized equipment necessary to repair these facilities when major equipment is damaged/destroyed. For example, CNRL had to bring in the largest mobile crane in the world to do the lift of the replacement coke drums into the upgrader. Mammoet is the only firm in the world who has them, and they have a grand total of 2-3 of them. It took 4 months for one to come available and was the only way to do the job without tearing down half of the undamaged part of the upgrader, installing the drums using other lift equipment (tandem lifts, etc) and then rebuilding the motherfucker that they tore down when the drum was installed. From what the operators I knew were saying, that option would have put the facility down for 16-20 months.

So basically, with sanctions what they are, it's entirely possible that if the damage is significant, Omsk is offline for the duration of this war.
 
Wayward DP said:

View: https://x.com/GLNoronha/status/1828095562056691831
Click to expand...


This is why beating Russia as fast as possible is in the US best interest and they just need to give the Ukies what they need to do it and take the gloves off.

The sooner Russia is sorted, the sooner the US gets to turn it's attention to Iran without there being major concerns of over extending if shit goes off the rails with China/Taiwan. With Russia sorted, the US gets to bury it's NATO contigency concerns and start putting a bit of force into dealing with Iran & it's proxies.
 
So it appears.....appears....that Ukraine has developed their own long range weapon that they're calling a rocket drone and put one into Russia on the 24th. This is a sneaky important development for a few reasons. The first is that it's an obvious work around to the limitation of using current long range missiles supplied by NATO countries, giving them the ability to hit Russian assets deep inside Russia without using the mopeds they were previously using. The other thing this will likely do is show the "escalation" doomsayers to be wrong again as more targets deeper inside Russia go boom more regularly, and they'll eventually remove the limitation on using the superior storm shadow or atacms for similar work.
 
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