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The ****ing Offseason Thread - 2016

I like him. Pretty smart, knowledgeable, funny and entertaining. More of an optimistic type. And he's a big Leafs fan.
 
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MindzEye said:
The schtick was funny the first few times, more and more grating every time I watch one of his videos.
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Exactly how I feel.

Downgoesbrown was one of the funnier leafs fans site in the past, but then the last couple years his jokes' got old, and he just feels / reads more annoying everytime I watch / read his stuff.
 
Pretty amazing that being unbearably annoying got him a job at sportsnet.. Then again let's be honest, I'm pretty sure that's the most important job requirement for them.
 
Good for him though. He hustled his way into being a legit, working hockey reporter. If only guys like Kipper and MacLean had to work that hard to get where they were, they might actually be good at their jobs.
 
Leafs announce Freddie Andersen will be out for 3-4 weeks with an "upper body injury".

He'll miss the World Cup, and sadly miss the chance to fulfill what I'm sure is a lifelong dream to win the World Cup with his beloved Team Europe, but he should be ready for the start of the regular season.
 
Some solid starting goaltending will go a long way to getting the team off in the right direction this season.
 
BeLeafer said:
Some solid starting goaltending will go a long way to getting the team off in the right direction this season.
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True. It's just unfortunate that the move to land him was a lateral one, rather than a clear upgrade on what we had. We can only hope the change of scenery will help Andersen be that solid starter we so desperately needed.
 
Maybe this belongs in the ****ing Season Thread, but math says the Leafs are better than the Sens and should finish in the low 20s.

A first crack at predicting the 2016-17 NHL standings
By Travis Yost

So, how can we go about forecasting goal differential, and how would it play a role in determining what we envision to be our best dart throw at the 2016-17 standings? There are a million different variables in hockey, but you can reduce the sport down to four criteria across three game states (including even-strength, power play, and penalty kill).
1. How well do you generate offence? (Shots For/60)
2. How well do you convert on offensive chances? (Shooting Percentage)
3. How well do you slow down the opposition’s offence? (Shots Against/60)
4. How well does your goaltender stop the opposition? (Save Percentage)
Since we now have about 10 years of team-level data and know the pervasiveness of each of these metrics, we can regress each statistic year-over-year for each of the three game states to separate true/repeatable talent from pure noise.
That gives us goal differential estimates for every team in the league based on prior year performance. Here’s what the regressed 2016-17 standings look like for the Eastern Conference:

eastern-conference-regressed-goals-differential.JPG


western-conference-regressed-goals-differential.JPG
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http://www.tsn.ca/talent/a-first-crack-at-predicting-the-2016-17-nhl-standings-1.561787
 
Artnes said:
It would be awesome if we finished ahead of the Oilers this year.
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If we finish in the bottom-5 of the standings this year, I'd say that should be considered a pretty big disappointment. With the skill that's being added into the lineup, another year of Babcock and new goalies, ending up somewhere from 20-25th overall should be the minimum expectation, barring catastrophic injuries.

And finishing in that range would definitely give us a great chance to finish ahead of the Oilers. I think they'll be bottom-5 again this year.
 
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