Does this line up? Eye test be damned but something doesnt smell right
It might be. He's been on the ice for more real goals than most of the leafs.
But the xGAs continue to look different than the rest of the defensive numbers both for team and for matthews so it's debatable as to what the stats are really showing.
Relative to team (the lower the better for these defensive numbers):
Bottom 5 on-ice save%:
18. Matthews .904
19. Boyd .904
20. Petan .903
21. Vesey .902
22. Simmonds .902
So he looks excellent defensively by all the shot attempts metrics, but not so great by the quality chance and actual goal metrics. And as I mentioned before there's evidence that pure shot metrics are better for judging defense.
Not sure which way to lean here but there's definitely lots of wiggle room in the numbers here if your eye test disagrees one way or the other.