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For Borje - The Toronto Maple Leafs 2023 Stanley Cup Champions Thread

Draft pick value chart breaks it down like this:

2 1sts (approx 15-20th overall): 1700-2000 points
Jeannot Package(roughly assuming 20, 52, 84, 116, 148): 1496 points

and yes, a lot of teams use charts like these when determining draft pick value, so it's a pretty good guide of how most clubs make these decisions. Especially a club like Tampa, which is known for being pretty data driven.
But when one 2nd can get you Knies….
 
TORONTO – The hockey community is devastated at the loss of their only joke with the Toronto Maple Leafs having advanced out of the NHL’s first round of playoffs for the first time since 2004.


Nearly two decades of variations on “win a round” or “other team in 7” are now lost to time as hockey fans across North America scramble to find originality for the first time in nineteen years. While Toronto fans pour into the streets to celebrate, at least 31 other fan bases are now forced back to the drawing board.


“I mean sure, we could go back to just shouting 1967 every chance we get,” commented Canucks season ticket holder Herbert Moncrest. “But since most NHL players weren’t even alive the last time a Canadian team won a cup, that one feels like it’s lost a bit of its sting.”


Toronto’s win marks the largest sporting plot twist since the Chicago Cubs’ 2016 World Series victory, which caused comedy venues across St Louis to shutter their doors for two weeks as they regrouped. Much of the same is expected from theatres in Ottawa and Montreal, with the entirety of the annual Just For Laughs festival seemingly at risk.
 
Cooper makes an important point there that a lot of people are going to intentionally miss today.

Tampa won 9 straight series against EC opponents. Basically beat everyone any good in the conference over that period. Bruins, Leafs, Panthers, Rangers, Islanders.

This Lightning core was 21-6 in playoff series since 2015, and were hard as fuck to kill.
 
PP Through the Series

Gm1: TOR 2/4 --- TBL 4/8
Gm2: TOR 2/6 --- TBL 0/3
Gm3: TOR 0/3 --- TBL 0/3
Gm4: TOR 2/4 --- TBL 1/3
Gm5: TOR 0/2 --- TBL 0/2
Gm6: TOR 0/2 --- TBL 0/2

Total: TOR 6/21 28.6% --- TBL 5/21 23.8%

Regular Season: TOR 26.0% (#2) --- TBL 25.4% (#3)
 
Who knew that we could beat them if we weren't getting humped by ridiculous officiating?

Who knew?

Also of note...game 2, a bunch of those PP's were when the game was already blown the fuck wide open, but Tampa received most of their PP's when the game was still close in game 1:

Game 1:
- Tampa was up 2-0 when they got their first PP, and then got a 2nd that they scored on to make 3-0 (the phantom Brodie holding call)
- Leafs get a PP, score to make it 3-1...Tampa gets next PP. Leafs then get another and score on it. 3-2, with penalties 3-2 for Tampa.
- Kampf gets hilarious "slashing" penalty, Tampa scores, 4-2. Officiating is clearly fucking hilarious at this point.
- Bunting's deserved match penalty and the bench minor blow it open.


Game 2:
- Tampa gets early penalty, we score. 1-0
- Toronto gets the next 2 minor penalties. Doesn't matter, we score twice more. 3-0
- 0 penalties called in the 2nd period, Toronto scores 3 times, 6-1. Penalties are 2-2 (and an offsetting fight) at this point.
- Tampa gets mad and dirty, picks up 40 minutes worth of penalties in the 3rd.


So yeah, the only game where officiating played an outsized role in the outcome was the 1st game bullshit.
 
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Leafs Playoffs In the Matthews Era

20 Wins (#12)
.444 W% (#21)

Leafs Playoffs since the Core got Paid

12 Wins (#11)
.480 W% (#12)
 
Who knew that we could beat them if we weren't getting humped by ridiculous officiating?

Who knew?

Also of note...game 2, a bunch of those PP's were when the game was already blown the fuck wide open, but Tampa received most of their PP's when the game was still close in game 1:

Game 1:
- Tampa was up 2-0 when they got their first PP, and then got a 2nd that they scored on to make 3-0 (the phantom Brodie holding call)
- Leafs get a PP, score to make it 3-1...Tampa gets next PP. Leafs then get another and score on it. 3-2, with penalties 3-2 for Tampa.
- Kampf gets hilarious "slashing" penalty, Tampa scores, 4-2. Officiating is clearly fucking hilarious at this point.
- Bunting's deserved match penalty and the bench minor blow it open.


Game 2:
- Tampa gets early penalty, we score. 1-0
- Toronto gets the next 2 minor penalties. Doesn't matter, we score twice more. 3-0
- 0 penalties called in the 2nd period, Toronto scores 3 times, 6-1. Penalties are 2-2 (and an offsetting fight) at this point.
- Tampa gets mad and dirty, picks up 40 minutes worth of penalties in the 3rd.


So yeah, the only game where officiating played an outsized role in the outcome was the 1st game bullshit.

yeah i was just looking at that - we got 6 pps to their 1 pp in the 3rd periods of those two blowouts where they meant nothing.

in terms of meaningful PPs, they were 20-15 for the Bolts.
 
Cooper makes an important point there that a lot of people are going to intentionally miss today.

Tampa won 9 straight series against EC opponents. Basically beat everyone any good in the conference over that period. Bruins, Leafs, Panthers, Rangers, Islanders.

This Lightning core was 21-6 in playoff series since 2015, and were hard as fuck to kill.
 
Playoffs Scoring

Matthews (25)

Career: 45gms, 22gls, 42pts (Pace: 40gls, 77pts)
Last 4yrs: 25gms, 12gls, 29pts (Pace: 39gls, 95pts)
Last 2yrs: 13gms, 9gls, 18pts (Pace: 57gls, 114pts)

Marner (25)

Career: 45gms, 9gls, 44pts (Pace: 16gls, 80pts)
Last 4yrs: 25gms, 4gls, 27pts (Pace: 13gls, 89pts)
Last 2yrs: 13gms, 4gls, 19pts (Pace: 25gls, 120pts)

O'Reilly (31)

Career: 70gms, 24gls, 63pts (Pace: 28gls, 74pts)
Last 4yrs: 31gms, 13gls, 33pts (Pace: 34gls, 87pts)
Last 2yrs: 18gms, 9gls, 19pts (Pace: 41gls, 87pts)

Nylander (26)

Career: 45gms, 15gls, 37pts (Pace: 27gls, 67pts)
Last 4yrs: 25gms, 12gls, 26pts (Pace: 39gls, 85pts)
Last 2yrs: 13gms, 5gls, 14pts (Pace: 32gls, 88pts)

Tavares (32)

Career: 50gms, 22gls, 43pts (Pace: 36gls, 71pts)
Last 4yrs: 19gms, 9gls, 16pts (Pace: 39gls, 69pts)
Last 2yrs: 13gms, 7gls, 13pts (Pace: 44gls, 82pts)

Rielly (28)

Career: 45gms, 10gls, 33pts (Pace: 18gls, 60pts)
Last 4yrs: 25gms, 8gls, 18pts (Pace: 26gls, 59pts)
Last 2yrs: 13gms, 6gls, 14pts (Pace: 38gls, 88pts)
 
It's strange how our road to the finals is so differnet than we thought it would be all year. We are in an amazing spot right now.
 
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