OT: American Politics

[MindzEye]

View: https://x.com/Strandjunker/status/1832822524222034006

I'm over 40, run 2 very different types of photography businesses with two very different client types and have not answered an unknown number in yeeeears and have no intention of changing that. If you're not in my phonebook already, text or fuck off.

I brought this point up in my "fuck polling" rants from months ago.

 

[Tryamw]

I'm over 40, run 2 very different types of photography businesses with two very different client types and have no answered an unknown number in yeeeears and have no intention of changing that. If you're not in my phonebook already, text or fuck off.

I brought this point up in my "fuck polling" rants from months ago.

That's why you won't pick up... Bastard...(j/k).

 

[CH1]

2 very different types of photography businesses with two very different client types

Tell us you have a porn side hustle without telling us

 

[MindzEye]

Tell us you have a porn side hustle without telling us

It's really shocking how close the camera is expected to get....

 

[Aberdeen]

View: https://x.com/Strandjunker/status/1832822524222034006

Do proper pollsters not have statistical corrections for this kind of skewing?

 

[zeke]

I said it a few weeks ago.

Trump has beaten the polls significantly in both elections.

But Dems have beaten the polls just ss significantly ever since Roe ended.....and that's including in very recent by elections within the last month or two, including what are usually extremely accurate bellweather open ticket primaries that have always been the best election turnout indicators.


I could see the Trump effect leveling out the polling bias but i'd be surprised if it's enough for him to actually beat the polls significantly (which at this point he still needs to do to win)

 

[zeke]

Do proper pollsters not have statistical corrections for this kind of skewing?

Yes but they're mostly guesses.

 

[MindzEye]

Do proper pollsters not have statistical corrections for this kind of skewing?

Make shit up

 

[axlsalinger]

View: https://x.com/mcuban/status/1832498566914572698

 

[axlsalinger]

View: https://x.com/madrid_mike/status/1832879107581104452

 

[axlsalinger]

back and forth like a yoyo for the next 2 months


View: https://x.com/cbouzy/status/1832878434391126190

 

[Killer93]

So whose actually winning this?

 

[Preston]

I don't think I've ever seen that bouzy guy bearish on the dems. Feels like a perma bull, ala Tom Lee.

 

[SundinsTooth]

Polls use more than just unsolicited phone calls, no?

 

[mbow30]

I don’t think it really says much that trump is polling higher with repubs this time around. The trumpists own the party now.

 

[leafman101]

Trump is far more mainstream now than his was in 2016/2020. In the last 24 hours I’ve seen videos of Elton John and the Rock praising him.

 

[thehabhater]

So whose actually winning this?

Harris by a converted touchdown

 

[Tryamw]

Harris by a converted touchdown

Not a second safety

 

[Preston]

Never discount the LOF patented nostalgia rosy retrospection effect. No matter how true it may be, people always tend to think fondly of the way things used to be when compared to the current state.

Anecdotally at least, this seems to be working in Trump's favor. Because honestly even if Kamala is ahead, the fact that it's even close is fucking insane.

 

[MindzEye]

Because honestly even if Kamala is ahead, the fact that it's even close is fucking insane

What we know is true is that 46% of Americans either want a Trumptatorship or they're still in the "you can't take him literally/he doesn't mean it like that" bubble.