• Moderators, please send me a PM if you are unable to access mod permissions. Thanks, Habsy.

OT: American Politics

Here's a good example of what we're talking about...

Tufts did a survey that dropped this week. Among all survey takers (N=1033), Kamala is up 49-45. Among self reported "already voted or definitely will vote", Kamala is up 51-46.

Once the sampling model gets added though to generate their LV's? 49-48 Kamala.


View: https://tufts-pol.medium.com/tufts-public-opinion-lab-national-pre-election-poll-shows-a-close-race-for-president-13591e3d7624

All adults:
Women: 52-42 Kamala
Men: 48-45 Trump

Voted or definitely will:
Women: 54-43 Kamala
Men: 50-47 Trump

Modeled LV
Women: 52-45 Kamala
Men: 51-45 Trump
 
MindzEye said:
Here's a good example of what we're talking about...

Tufts did a survey that dropped this week. Among all survey takers (N=1033), Kamala is up 49-45. Among self reported "already voted or definitely will vote", Kamala is up 51-46.

Once the sampling model gets added though to generate their LV's? 49-48 Kamala.


View: https://tufts-pol.medium.com/tufts-public-opinion-lab-national-pre-election-poll-shows-a-close-race-for-president-13591e3d7624

All adults:
Women: 52-42 Kamala
Men: 48-45 Trump

Voted or definitely will:
Women: 54-43 Kamala
Men: 50-47 Trump

Modeled LV
Women: 52-45 Kamala
Men: 51-45 Trump
Click to expand...


and CNN, it's more or less the same



View: https://twitter.com/ConorLynch04/status/1849852175842959818
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top