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OT: American Politics

yah in my head right now the two likeliest scenarios are a Harris blowout and a Trump squeaker. followed in third by Harris squeaking out a W.

My order.
1. Harris blowout
2. Harris easy win
3. Harris squeaker
4. Trump squeaker

Honestly. This was over as soon as Harris received no backlash from replacing Biden.

Voter turnout for Trump is going to be low, and Harris turnout high.
 


This is what I mean, we're just not seeing the same type of outward Trump enthusiasm, we're not seeing Republican registration advantages, but I keep seeing polls with pretty obvious R +3 cooked into the models to make 49-48 Harris.

My emotions are pretty shook right now, but my head keeps telling me the same people who predicted a red wave are missing something going on with the electorate again.
 
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