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OT: American Politics

Preston said:
Idk I've seen a couple comments in this thread about people being surprised by it. I let the first one go but I had to react to fly guy saying it.
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There used to be extreme trump protests on the regular during his previous campaigns. I don't recall seeing many, if any big ones this cycle. Seems that would've been a thing in 2016 and 2020.
 
do the pollsters actually have a good handle on the formerly low propensity voters that came out for trump? are there new categories of low propensity voters that will come out this time?

they should, but i dunno.

is he instead going to be able to flip likely dem voters to his side more than the reverse happens?

maybe.

or have some pollsters overcorrected for their misses in previous elections and are overcounting trump likely voters?

maybe.
 
hockeylover said:
pretty skeptical at this point that trump's voters would feel they should hide their vote. never met any trump voter who hasn't been completely unapologetic about it. are there actually shy trump voters left?
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I certainly don't bring it up unprompted unless I know the other person's political beliefs already. I think someone is still more likely to be vocally anti-trump than pro-trump just because people are scarred from whacko's excommunicating family and friends last cycle.
 
zeke said:
low propensity just means a category of voter that doesn't vote regularly. whether that's an age bracket, gender, race, income bracket, education tier, whatever.

but the more that category of voter actually votes, the more they will be incorporated into future Likely Voter models.
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I figured that implied you couldn't predict whether they would vote or not since they don't vote regularly.
 
zeke said:
She's not dumb.
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Smart isn't how I would describe someone who didn't know that you have to tick off a box requesting a jury trial, not tick said box, and then complain to the judge that trial was unfair because it wasn't a jury trial.

Dumb.

She's probably amazing at parking garage law tho..
 
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