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OT: Coronavirus Resources - and other things to not worry about

Well none of our children are fully vaccinated. Anyone have data on the immunity on partially vaccinated under 12s?
 
No data but probably good and risks are still small for children; even a 4-fold increase isn't too crazy high. Ages 0-2 have had the highest hospitalization rate the entire pandemic for children. After that it's pretty low risk but a high number of infections means a higher number of hospitalizations unfortunately.

It's hard to know for sure because of so many cases not being reported but the CHR for kids does seem to be higher for this variant compared to other variants. Children hospitalizations are at record highs in the UK and US right now.

This is why I want my kid to at least get 1 dose in him before I go too crazy with taking risks. He'll be over 2 soon so I'm out of the highest risk stage at least. He got a mild bout a year ago.

Tldr: this is still covid
 
Don't think it's a meaningless metric at all - just requires more context now. Gives somewhat of an idea of prevalence in the community so you can make decisions based on your own risk tolerance. For people who are trying to protect people around them who are high-risk, it's still useful.
 
Don't think it's a meaningless metric at all - just requires more context now. Gives somewhat of an idea of prevalence in the community so you can make decisions based on your own risk tolerance. For people who are trying to protect people around them who are high-risk, it's still useful.
It also helps hospitals with capacity planning
 
Schmouth Africa

frustrated_fletcher_comes_away_with_no_miracle_cures_forwoes.jpeg
 
One day we'll be at a point where cases will mean less. But it is still the most important metric in times like these when everything seems alright in our hospitals. The sheer number of cases tell us there is obviously going to be a surge soon (we are currently seeing an exponential rise in hospitalizations which the cases predicted weeks ago). Planning for a continued exponential rise would be wise. Especially when factoring that the age mix in cases has recently gotten older. Good information to have!
 
Tldr: cases are the xgf for any illness. Best predictability of hospitlizations/deaths even if correlations change based on population immunity.

Population immunity plays the role of goaltending... Last year we had Joseph Woll in an immunonaive population, right now we've got Freddy. Solid, but pretty leaky. It will continue to improve.
 
Cases are corsi not xgf.

Hospitalizations are scoring chances.

ICUs are high-danger.

Deaths are goals.

Xgf would be the cases adjusted for hospitalization and ice and deaths rate.
 
Idk I've seen enough models that show the clear correlation between cases (xgf%) and hospitalizations (wins). Corsi don't have that predictability even remotely. But yes, admittedly the strength of the correlation depends on how good your goalie and special teams (population immunity) are. Correlation is weakening as the pandemic progresses (we have a better goalie now) but it's nowhere near broken. Spoiler: it'll never break and this is why we have tracked flu prevalence for decades.
 
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