I wouldn’t move Kirk either.
Not everyone in the lineup needs power. If this guy is a good hitter and can get in base at a high clip that’s super valuable to a power line up.Martin is making his pro debut in AA and has a .409 OBP. I’d give him more time before moving him. The lack of extra base power right now is concerning for sure but from what I’ve read about his barrel skills I think he could pop at any minute.
The rotation as a whole is overperforming as well. Ryu is the only really reliable guy and even he has been healthier than you can normally expect. Ray is having a career year (or very close to it) after being genuinely awful last year. Matz is having a nice bounceback. Stripling not great but exceeding expectations. Manoah is an unexpected surprise. Even if they could keep this group together next year, it would cost a lot more and quite likely be shakier.Ryu and Springer are only getting older.
Ray and Semien are having dream seasons making the FO look genius.
Crazy that they would just let this season pass.
Smith has crushed Double-A pitching this year, so this is more about me being very high on his future than trying to give Kimbrel away relatively cheaply. ZiPS already gave Smith pretty good odds of peaking at league-average coming into the season and now sees a very good chance that he’ll be a three WAR or better player in his prime. He also really needs to be in the majors now yet is caught in a crunch with Marcus Semien and Bo Bichette above him and Orelvis Martinez coming up quickly behind. I suspect the Cubs are still hoping to retool rather than go full slash-and-burn, and Smith’s proximity to the majors helps them in that.
But no, I’m not giving the Cubs someone like Austin Martin or Alek Manoah. The Blue Jays have a definite need, with injuries thinning out a bullpen that was already top-heavy, but neither they nor any other team are desperate enough to give up that much for two months and an option year of an elite closer. At least I’m being more generous than the Padres were in acquiring Yu Darvish!