Yeah, I didn't want to post some of the osint guys talking about the tone of conversation on Russian telegram channels. But that's what I've been reading for the last few days, there is a fuck load of concern and fear in them right now, a lot of infighting, etc.
An increase in local counterattacks in established hotspots could be to force the Russians to commit forces and appropriate reserve levels to holding those areas, then hammer rail infrastructure (the Russians rely heavily, heavily on rail for logistics. Cut rail links and their ability to move forces through the landbridge basically ceases to exist), and then hit the areas already scouted as weak and accessible with full armor and mechanized infantry pushes to break the lines.