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OT: World Politics



The osint channels are pretty much uniformly reporting multiple large (up to 5 km) incursions along the lines in donbas and zap earlier. Some groups withdrew once they hit significant resistance, which supports this assessment. Probing for weak spots and observing how the Russians rotate whatever reserve forces they have.

I'm still of the mind that they're going to draw as much attention to that region, force Russia to commit there and then come across from Kherson. Crimea is too spectacular a political and military goal to ignore imo. Even just pressuring it has outsized political impact inside Russia.
 
The osint channels are pretty much uniformly reporting multiple large (up to 5 km) incursions along the lines in donbas and zap earlier. Some groups withdrew once they hit significant resistance, which supports this assessment. Probing for weak spots and observing how the Russians rotate whatever reserve forces they have.

I'm still of the mind that they're going to draw as much attention to that region, force Russia to commit there and then come across from Kherson. Crimea is too spectacular a political and military goal to ignore imo. Even just pressuring it has outsized political impact inside Russia.
I just expect them to do something no one was expecting that is also kinda brilliant.

Just like these incursions into Belgorod.

I await the grand reveal with excitement.
 
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