Wayward DP
Well-known member
better to have it all out in the open for all to see and evaluate
OT: World Politics
- Thread starter zeke
- Start date
Wayward DP
Well-known member
thread:
Wayward DP
Well-known member
TLDR - Ukrainians continue to progress in the south, and likely look to have penetrated the Surovikin line in some form or another outside Verbove. estimates of Ukrainian gains are quite conservative so they could have advanced further.
and no reports of Count's son being killed on the frontlines, either.
Wayward DP
Well-known member
another thread discussing the significance of a potential breach of the first layer of the Surovikin line:
Wayward DP
Well-known member
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
Yeah, I'm sure the Russians have been hardening as many points as possible behind their existing lines as the strategies behind the Ukie offensive becomes clearer and clearer....but you can't created defensive lines in a few weeks that are as good as what you had spent a year fortifying, that are now breached.
Wayward DP
Well-known member
Especially when you need to keep calling up reserve forces to defend the main line.
MindzEye
Wayward Ditch Pig
She's spot on, saw this in the comments...
This goes to something I was mentioning a few weeks on here regarding the Russian logistical picture in Zap. They can feed the front lines in Zap via rail (their preference) anywhere within the Tokmak-Melitopol-Berdyansk "triangle". If they can follow the path of least resistance to cut the rail line between Berdyansk and Tokmak then that would leave the Melitopol to Tokmak line as their main source of supplies and reserve transportation. There's a big rail bridge on that line which would be a great target for a few storm shadows if they're able to get that far. It would turn Russian logistics efforts in Tokmak into a complete mess. It's only 60km, but a train carries ~300 trucks worth of freight, and as many as double that when you consider the type of trucks the Russians are using. The best guess is that the entire Russian military (not just what's in Ukraine) had about 4000 heavy trucks to start this war with and Trent Telenko has gone at lengths to show their struggles in keeping those on the road, there has likely been significant equipment attrition over the last 12 months. Having to devote a significant percentage of those just to keep supplies flowing to Tokmak, on top of what is needed to move supplies around on the front beyond Tokmak would be a back breaker.
Also....there will be a move across the Dnipro at some point when they feel like they've locked the Russians into place in Zap. It's necessary to create the pincer that fully isolates the Russians forces in Zap and starves them out.
oscarheyman
Well-known member
WeHaveMoreCupsThanYou
I will get banned again soon, worry not.
Wonder how much, if any, taxes that PepsiCo paid in the US last year.
