Record: 46-26-10, 102 points
Case for a Stanley Cup run:Toronto took its time finding a sweet spot, where all the elements from consistent scoring to stable goaltending to solid defense came together and steered the Leafs closer to their full potential. That it happened late in the year, right before the playoffs? Well, that just might be Toronto's secret sauce.
Unlike seasons past, when the Leafs could coast at times on the goal-scoring prowess of
Auston Matthews or the playmaking magic of
Mitch Marner, the Leafs have successfully weathered adversity to emerge as perhaps the strongest collective version of themselves. Sure, GM Brad Treliving actively added some sandpaper to the lineup with
Ryan Reaves and a big-bodied defenseman in
Joel Edmundson, but it's the overall grit Toronto has earned throughout the year that should help in the postseason.
Another Leafs edge? Their first line -- helmed by Hart Trophy contender Matthews -- has finally found its rhythm. After months of tinkering,
Tyler Bertuzzi and
Max Domi have combined with Matthews to make their unit elite. That has given coach Sheldon Keefe the opportunity to spread out some of the other top skaters -- such as Marner and
William Nylander -- so Toronto isn't as vulnerable to the ebbs and flows of its star performers.
Nicholas Robertsonhas been improving up front lately, and so has
Matthew Knies. The Leafs were felled by a lack of postseason scoring in the past, and if they've got that covered now, it could carry them well beyond one round.
Biggest flaws: Toronto has question marks on defense -- including who, exactly, will actually be in the six-man rotation come playoffs.
TJ Brodie, once a top-pairing staple, has slipped down the depth chart, and Keefe's been regularly reworking his back end to see what sticks. The Leafs have averaged 3.13 goals against this season and nearly 30 shots against while struggling to defend off the rush. In a tight-checking postseason contest when desperation is at its peak, Toronto's defense could be exposed if it can't find the right mix of players to handle the job ahead.
Player to watch: Ilya Samsonov. Toronto's starter has been through the wringer and came out the other side playing some of his best hockey. The Leafs can only hope Samsonov stays on that path when the playoffs begin. He projects to be their starter in the first round, with rookie
Joseph Woll looking over his shoulder, ready to take over.
Bold prediction: Toronto will escape the first round and then explode with a second-round sweep. The Leafs will reach their first Stanley Cup Final since 1967 and finally win it all in a dramatic Game 7 victory.
ESPN’s take.