• Moderators, please send me a PM if you are unable to access mod permissions. Thanks, Habsy.

No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

I know they say we've played badly so far and we have... but I'm gonna surmise that if we're playing a real third line and the fourth line less altogether, in the long run it's going to push closer to respectable.
 
Robertson Gm1:

w/Domi-Jarnkrok: ~8min, .72xgf, .38xga, 65.5xgf%
w/Anyone Else: ~4.5min, .05xgf, 1.20xga, 04.0xgf%

w/Kampf-Gregor: 1:00, .00xgf, .58xga, 00.0xgf%
w/Domi-Nylander: 0:36, .00xgf, .30xga, 00.0xgf%
w/Domi-Reaves: 0:30, .03xgf, .32xga, 8.6xgf%
w/Tavares-Bertuzzi: 0:30, .00xgf, .00xga, 50.0xgf%
 
Hoping the arrow is pointing up as we are going to the Boston game on December 2 and don’t want the first live game my kiddo sees to be an epic gong show.
 
Matthews

Age 19: 40gl/69pt pace (14.3sh%)
Age 20: 45gl/83pt pace (18.2sh%)
Age 21: 45gl/88pt pace (14.7sh%)
Age 22: 55gl/92pt pace (16.2sh%)
Age 23: 65gl/104pt pace (18.5sh%)
Age 24: 67gl/119pt pace (17.2sh%)
Age 25: 44gl/94pt pace (12.2sh%)
Age 26: 89gl/123pt pace (22.8sh%)
 
zeke said:
Matthews

Age 19: 40gl/69pt pace (14.3sh%)
Age 20: 45gl/83pt pace (18.2sh%)
Age 21: 45gl/88pt pace (14.7sh%)
Age 22: 55gl/92pt pace (16.2sh%)
Age 23: 65gl/104pt pace (18.5sh%)
Age 24: 67gl/119pt pace (17.2sh%)
Age 25: 44gl/94pt pace (12.2sh%)
Age 26: 89gl/123pt pace (22.8sh%)
Click to expand...

Over Auston's last 211 games, he's on a 60 goal pace. Over his last 281 games he's on a 59 goal pace.


That matches Ovechkin's best career stretch of 200+ games (2007-2010) with an 82 game pace of 60 goals.

Only other 200+ game runs in NHL history that match or better this is Mike Bossy, Gretzky, Hull x2, Lemiuex, Esposito, Richard, Yzerman, & Kurri with a lot of those occurring in seasons that had video game levels of goal scoring league wide. I can't be bothered to do the adjustment math, but I'm going to bet that Ovy-Matthews is top 5 in adjusted peak goal scoring runs.
 
Last edited:
Artnes said:
My math could be off (or completely wrong) but based on his current pace Matthews will be at 1154 era adjusted goals if he reaches Ovis current games played of 1357
Click to expand...

monkey-math.gif


Looks good to me bro.
 
hockeylover said:
Honestly my first thought was "Auston Matthews is 26? When the fuck did that happen?"
Click to expand...


Someday, much sooner than we’d like to think, we’ll be innocently watching an NHL game only to be smacked in the face with the realization that one of the lousy fuckin’ kids playing in the game is the grandson of someone we actually watched play live NHL games.
 
Preston said:
He has learned to score at a hilarious pace without that wrist busting curl and release shot. That in itself is messed up. Guy can score in so many ways, it's ridiculous. He don't need no wrist.
Click to expand...

Yeah, he can still hammer the puck when he needs to but he's definitely not reliant on 90+mph sniped wristers anymore to score 40+ goals in a season, which is kind of wild. He does everything around the net at a crazy high level, and has elite IQ for finding goal scoring space. I'd actually argue that Ovy was the more "limited" goal scorer of the two with the vast majority of his goals coming off of one timers or rushes. Auston does everything.
 
Volcanologist said:
He's back in Hart form at the moment, that's for sure.
Click to expand...

Even as the SH% (which isn't crazy by Auston standards, but is a bit high still) regresses, if this is his level of play for the year he's probably a Hart lock.

Of all the top scorers in the league right now, Auston has the lowest OISH% and the shooting/team luck numbers most in line with his career norms

SH%(Typical)/OISH%(Typical)

Auston: 22.8% (16-18%) / 15.2% (13-14%)
Elias: 19.4% (15-17%) / 20.7% (11.5-14%)
J Hughes: 14.3 (13-16%) / 19.0% (11-12%)
Q Hughes: 11.1% (4-5%) / 17.1% (10-12%)

The big one for me there is OISH% and all of them (other than Auston) being way, way above a typical season for them. Auston isn't likely to shoot 23% this year and score 90, but if he stays healthy he could definitely shoot 18% and score 70. All of the other early season Hart contenders need everyone around them to shoot ridiculous SH% to keep up with Auston's goal scoring.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top