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OT: American Politics


View: https://x.com/Slate/status/1830976692241723592

Polling from 538:

Nov '23: Osborn +2 (dem-funded)
Apr '24: Fischer +4 (dem campaign funded Dem pollster)
Jul '24: Even (dem campaign funded a GOP pollster)
Jul '24: Fischer +26 (gop campaign funded GOP pollster)
Aug '24: Fischer +2 (dem campaign sponsoring an independant YouGov)
Aug '24: Fischer +1 (completely independant pollster)

aside from the one massive outlier there, the polling has been very close for the entire last year. this is not a seat that is usually ever close.
 

View: https://x.com/Slate/status/1830976692241723592

Polling from 538:

Nov '23: Osborn +2 (dem-funded)
Apr '24: Fischer +4 (dem campaign funded Dem pollster)
Jul '24: Even (dem campaign funded a GOP pollster)
Jul '24: Fischer +26 (gop campaign funded GOP pollster)
Aug '24: Fischer +2 (dem campaign sponsoring an independant YouGov)
Aug '24: Fischer +1 (completely independant pollster)

aside from the one massive outlier there, the polling has been very close for the entire last year. this is not a seat that is usually ever close.

I assume candidate quality plays a role here... thanks dotard!
 

Clinton didn’t buy any TV ads in Wisconsin til late October and didn’t go to Wisconsin once before the election. Jesus. They were really arrogant looking back
 
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