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OT: American Politics

PA is tough to model tbh because of how stark and roughly evenly divided the population is between urban Pitt/Philly and the rest of the state, Pennsyltucky. The deep Philly suburbs are the swing voters. Voter turnout in Philly blows up your model if you have it even just a little bit wrong.
I know that methodologies have changed but how did Biden poll in PA in 2020? Did he outperform the polls?
 

View: https://x.com/WillMonox2112/status/1831810658637377599

giphy.webp
 
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