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OT: American Politics

zeke said:
Basically most every polling average has it 276 D to 262 R. Even RCP has it there.

A clean sweep of swings gets D 319 or R 312. And the swings are all well within the margin of error.

Anything bigger either way is aggressive but some aren't crazy - smaller states like VA (13) NH (17), NB (1) - don't have much polling so the error bars are bigger there and have shown some signs of swinginess towards red. FL (30) has shown some swinginess to blue, is closer in polling and is way more important than all those others combined, but has much more polling in general so the polling numbers there should be a little more solid.
Click to expand...
Wtf is NB? Do you mean Omaha’s single EC vote?
 
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